-Livemint.com This is a shift from the September 2014 survey where many respondents had expected inflation to rise over the next one year Mumbai: According to recent surveys conducted by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), fewer households in India expect higher inflation in the year ahead, even though expectations regarding future economic conditions, income and spending showed a decline. In the 38th round of The Inflation Expectations Survey of Households December...
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Running on fumes -Paranjoy Guha Thakurta
-The Asian Age The sharp and sudden collapse of international prices of crude oil brings significant short-term gains for the Indian economy. However, in the medium and long run, the fall in oil prices has ramifications that are far from positive for this country. The windfall gains that have accrued will provide temporary relief for finance minister Arun Jaitley and will enable him to meet the fiscal deficit target in the...
More »Decoding the oil price fall -Raghuvir Srinivasan
-The Hindu Year 2015 will be crucial as shale oil firms begin to feel the pinch of low prices Are falling oil prices good or bad for the global economy? And how do they work for India? Till recently these questions were no-brainers. Cheaper oil is obviously good for the global economy; for an energy-intensive economy such as India's, which also depends on imported oil for meeting four-fifths of its needs, a...
More »Revisiting rural indebtedness - CP Chandrasekhar
-Frontline The problem in rural India is not one of too much credit to poor households that leads to debt waivers that damage bank balance sheets, but one of inadequate access to credit from formal sources. IF Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan is to be believed, efforts to help Indian farmers by providing them with cheap(er) credit and relieving them of an unsustainable debt burden only harms them in the...
More »Rural wage growth lowest in 10 years, signals farm distress, falling inflation -Harish Damodaran & Surabhi
-The Indian Express Rural wages in India have registered an average annual growth of 3.8 per cent in November, the lowest since July 2005, according to Labour Bureau data. The 3.8 per cent year-on-year increase is a significant drop relative to the two-digit growth rates prevailing until June, and the peak 20 per cent-plus levels of 2011 (see graph). "The numbers confirm the findings in our mid-year economic analysis that inflation is...
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