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What to make of the latest IMD monsoon forecast? -Vidya Venkat

-The Hindu The Hindu decided to find out whether these forecasts have worked in the past. Answer (based on 10 years of forecast data): not very accurately Chennai: Following the India Meteorological Department’s forecast of an ‘above normal’ monsoon of 106 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA) on Tuesday, The Hindu decided to find out whether these forecasts have worked in the past. Answer (based on 10 years of forecast...

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Historic data suggests monsoon may be delayed by ten days -Vinson Kurian

-The Hindu Business Line Such delays take place after an El Nino year, which 2015 was Thiruvananthapuram (Kerala): The India Meteorological Department (IMD) may have forecast an above-normal monsoon this year, but it is highly probable that its onset over Kerala will be delayed by more than 10 days. There is a lot of physical evidence in support of such a delay this year, says PV Joseph, eminent monsoon researcher and former IMD...

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It’s official: India set for an ‘above normal’ monsoon -Jacob Koshy

-The Hindu Waning El Nino among factors underlying Met office’s optimism. In line with recent predictions by private weather forecasters, India’s official weather forecasting agency too has said the monsoon is likely to be “above normal” and likely to be 106 per cent of the average of 89 cm. Monsoon rains within 96 per cent and 104 per cent of this average are considered “normal” in the terminology of the India Meteorological Department...

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Rains may break 2-yr El Nino jinx

-Business Standard After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan's hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled. Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year. Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the...

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Hopes high for a good monsoon -Nikita Mehta

-Livemint.com Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology says there is a 54% probability that rainfall during the monsoon season this year will be 10 mm-per-day more than normal New Delhi: Weather scientists said they may have spotted signs of a normal, if not a good, rainy season this year, sparking hope among farmers and policymakers alike after two successive bad monsoons. With just three weeks to go for the India Meteorological Department’s (IMD’s) much-awaited...

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