-The Indian Express The Union budget should focus on enhancing credit flows to the small and marginal farmers, increase investment in health and education. The first advance estimates of GDP for 2020-21 are much better than the earlier market consensus and shows the inherent strengths of the Indian Economy. The Economy is expected to contract by 7.7 per cent implying a COVID-19 induced loss of Rs 9.61 lakh crore in real terms...
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Bad loans may hit 22-year high by Sept, RBI stress tests show -Shayan Ghosh and Gopika Gopakumar
-Livemint.com The gross bad loan ratio of banks which stood at 7.5% as of 30 September, could almost double to 14.8% under a severe stress scenario, RBI warns Indian banks’ bad loan ratio could rise to 13.5% under the baseline stress scenario by September, the highest in more than 22 years, posing a risk to the broader Economy, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said. The gross bad loan ratio of banks which...
More »How India could spend its way out of the Great Recession -Nikita Kwatra and Pramit Bhattacharya
-Livemint.com The government will have to ensure its spending improves Economy-wide productivity, and its own revenue-generating capacity, to avoid a stagflationary trap After dithering on a fiscal stimulus package for nearly a year, India’s finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman has declared that she will not allow the fiscal deficit number to worry her too much as she pushes spending to revive growth in the upcoming budget. The government hopes that growth will generate higher...
More »COVID-19 pushed 119-124 million into poverty: World Bank updates estimates
-Down to Earth The number of pandemic-induced new poor is forecast to rise to 143-163 million in 2021 The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, which forced economies around the world to lock down last year, may have increased global poverty by 119 million-124 million, according to updated estimates by World Bank. This includes the 31 million people who would have moved out of poverty (measured at the international poverty line of $1.90, or...
More »India's real GDP to expand by 10.1% in FY2022: Icra
-Livemint.com/ PTI Icra expects the headline CPI inflation to decline to 4.6% in FY2022 from 6.4% in FY2021, while exceeding the mid-point of the Monetary Policy Committee's medium target of 4%, for the third consecutive year MUMBAI: Domestic rating agency Icra Ratings on Monday said it expects the country's real gross domestic product (GDP) to grow by 10.1% in FY2022. It, however, said the value of GDP in the next financial year will...
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