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Recent reports predict gloomy days ahead for the overall economy

Most reports and studies by official agencies, international think tanks and private entities indicate the cataclysmic impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the economy and society. They anticipate that lockdowns imposed by various countries across the globe to reduce the exponential diffusion of COVID-19 (i.e. for flattening the curve by social distancing and quarantines) would adversely affect economic growth and disrupt supply chains in most sectors, on top of causing...

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Problematic revisions: We need fewer, quicker economic growth estimates -AK Bhattacharya

-Business Standard The CSO releases as many as 6 estimates of India's annual economic output growth; believe it or not, these estimates for the same year's economic output are released over a period of three years! When the Central Statistics Office (CSO) declared India’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth figure for 2016-17 on January 6, 2017, economic policy makers in the Narendra Modi government were disappointed. The GDP growth figure was only...

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No green shoots of a revival in sight as yet -R Nagaraj

-The Hindu The latest GDP data show that there has been an undeniable decline in the growth rate over seven consecutive quarters On February 28, as per its release calendar, the National Statistical Office (NSO) put out the third quarter gross domestic product (GDP) estimates, that is, for October-December 2020. It showed that domestic output grew at 4.7% at constant prices (that is, net of inflation), compared to the same period the...

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Economy sliding into serious stagnation but Modi & Co are clueless - Prabhat Patnaik

-Newsclick.in Reviving the economy requires, apart from social peace, a powerful fiscal intervention going well beyond what neo-liberalism allows. Changes in estimation methods have of late made statistics on the Indian economy increasingly bewildering; besides, whenever the statistics show the performance of the economy in a poor light, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) government simply suppresses them. Nothing, however, can suppress the fact that the Indian economy is sliding into a serious...

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India is constantly tinkering with GDP data. It’s hard to rely on it now -Vivel Kaul

-Newslaundry.com In the latest instance, GDP growth projections for the first two quarters of 2019-20 have been revised up, making it easier to meet the annual growth target of 5 percent. The Gross Domestic Product figures for the period of October to December 2019 were published late last week. GDP measures the economic size of a country. Alongside, the GDP figures for the previous two quarters – April to June 2019 and July...

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