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India may have to revise downwards 'potential' growth rate from 7-8%: ex-CEA -TCA Sharad Raghavan

-The Hindu ‘Today’s 4.5% is impressive as size of the economy now is five times of 1980 levels’ New Delhi: India may have to revise downwards what is considered its “potential” rate of growth from 7-8% to bring expectations more in line with reality, former Chief Economic Adviser (CEA) Arvind Subramanian has argued in a paper. This paper comes as a follow-up to the one Mr. Subramanian published last month, in which he...

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Getting the GDP numbers right -S Mahendra Dev

-The Indian Express Estimates are not perfect, but the process is revised and fine-tuned. Former Chief Economic Adviser Arvind Subramanian’s recent paper claims that the Indian GDP growth may have been overestimated by 2.5 per cent per annum between the period 2011-12 and 2016-17. A note by Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC) rejects the Methodology, arguments and conclusions of Subramanian’s paper. A study done at our institute by Ashima Goyal...

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India GDP overestimation: more evidence -Nikita Kwatra

-Livemint.com India’s actual growth rate over the past few years may have been in the range of 5-5.5% over the past few years, according to a new study Last month, a research paper by the former chief economic adviser to the finance ministry, Arvind Subramanian, reignited the controversy surrounding India’s GDP calculations. In his paper, Subramanian suggested that India’s growth rate in recent years had been grossly overestimated --- a claim that...

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Is India overestimating its economic growth? -TCA Sharad Raghavan

-The Hindu The new GDP series has some methodological and sampling problems Former Chief Economic Adviser Arvind Subramanian recently claimed in a paper that India’s GDP growth from 2011-12 to 2016-17 was likely to have been overestimated. The Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council has rejected this claim, stating that his paper would “not stand the scrutiny of academic or policy research standards”. In a conversation moderated by T.C.A. Sharad Raghavan, Pronab Sen...

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