-Livemint.com The Survey expects the Indian economy to grow by 11% in real terms (adjusted for inflation) during 2021-22. This is close to the growth of 11.5% forecast by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). This is good news. The Economic Survey of 2020-21 was published earlier in the day today. Like in the previous years, the Economic Survey tries to summarise the state of the Indian economy across various dimensions. Here are ten...
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Budgeting in a time of crisis -TCA Ramanujam
-The Hindu Keynesian economics offers guidelines for preparing the Budget The Great Depression wrecked the economies of the U.S. and Europe. In the words of Jonathan Alter, when Franklin Roosevelt became the American President in 1933, he was told: “Mr. President, if your programme succeeds you would be the greatest President in American history. If it fails, you will be the worst one”. Roosevelt replied: “If it fails, I will be the...
More »Budget 2021 Is a Chance to Undo the COVID-Induced Inequality That Has Surged Across India -Nikhil Dey
-TheWire.in Ideally, the government should increase the work entitlement for MGNREGA to at least 150 days, double the budget and put in place an urban employment guarantee act. Let’s start with those who did well over the last 10 months. The Sensex index crossed the 50,000 benchmark for the first time on January 21, 2021, with a whopping 70% increase since April 2020. The Oxfam inequality report, just released, gives an idea of...
More »Two Key Numbers to Look Out for in the Upcoming Budget 2021 -Jayati Ghosh
-TheWire.in The most important concern is that of increasing public spending. There are really only two numbers to look out for in the forthcoming budget: how much did the government claim to have spent in 2020-21, and how much does it intend to spend in 2021-22. These two numbers will determine whether there is any real hope of sustained macroeconomic recovery in the near future, notwithstanding any claims of green shoots or revival...
More »Getting it wrong on India’s level of agricultural support -Sachin Kumar Sharma and Adeet Dobhal
-The Hindu The methodology behind the OECD’s numbers, that suggests negative support, has pitfalls and limitations The ongoing stalemate between the farmers protesting over the recently passed farm laws and the government has sparked an interesting debate regarding the level of agricultural support. Many media reports, based on data by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), have ostensibly stated that the support provided to Indian agriculture is extremely low or...
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