-The Indian Express Growing divergence between consumption expenditure estimates from NSO surveys and GDP data is too big to be pushed under the carpet Recently, we had expressed concerns that with the GDP growth rate falling in the post 2011-12 period, the decline in the poverty ratio would be slow. During 2011-12 to 2018-19, both GDP and agriculture growth were lower than in the earlier period. The terms of trade were not...
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CII suggestion to Revenue Secy: Focus on consumption, investment
-The Indian Express CII recommended adoption of an expansionary fiscal policy to allow fiscal deficit to increase by around 0.5 per cent to 0.75 per cent of GDP, which will give government additional fiscal space of Rs 1.1 lakh crore to Rs 1.6 lakh crore. In a pre-Budget consultation meeting with Revenue Secretary Ajay Bhushan Pandey, the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) shared its pre-Budget Memorandum recommendations, focusing on providing impetus...
More »India's rural poverty has shot up -Pramit Bhattacharya & Sriharsha Devulapalli
-Livemint.com Bihar, Jharkhand and Odisha have seen sharp increases in poverty rates over the past few years, an analysis of the national statistical office data suggests Ever since India moved to a high growth trajectory in the 1980s, poverty rates have consistently declined over time. Until now. A Mint analysis of the consumption expenditure numbers reported by the National Statistical Office (NSO) in a hushed-up report suggests that rural poverty rose nearly 4...
More »The curious case of a consumption decline
-Livemint.com A leaked NSO survey report says that expenditure by consumers across India actually fell over a six-year span till 2017-18. This is at odds with our GDP data. So what explains this finding? Is Indian consumption in decline? Anecdotal evidence has pointed that way for some time. But now, a leaked survey report of the National Statistical Office (NSO), published on Friday in Business Standard, seems to confirm suspicions of such...
More »Key sales numbers show rural demand may dip further -P Vaidyanathan Iyer
-The Indian Express Warning signs across FMCG, tractors & 2-wheelers, gold, real rural wages THE GOVERNMENT Friday claimed that a significant divergence in levels of consumption and direction of change prompted it to withhold the findings of the survey on household consumption expenditure for July 2017-June 2018. But all major indicators of rural demand suggest the situation has only worsened since the beginning of financial year 2019-20, and the economy is...
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