-PTI/ The Hindu “Overall, the difference between wholesale and retail inflation is primarily due to supply-side factors which should decrease and therefore going forward even the retail inflation should ease,” Mr. Subramanian said. Attributing the rise in inflation to supply-side frictions, Chief Economic Adviser K V Subramanian has exuded confidence that retail inflation will come down in the days ahead with the easing of lockdowns. According to the government data, retail inflation rose...
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India facing 'Great Slowdown', economy headed to ICU: Arvind Subramanian
-PTI * Subramanian had flagged the problem of debt accumulated by private corporates becoming NPA of banks back in December 2014 * At that time, he was CEA to the Narendra Modi government NEW DELHI: India is facing a "Great Slowdown" with its economy headed for intensive care unit primarily due to a "second wave" of the twin balance sheet crisis at banks, former Chief Economic Adviser Arvind Subramanian has said. Subramanian, who was...
More »Former CEA rubbishes government arguments; sticks to claim of India overestimating GDP growth
-PTI In a new paper 'Validating India's GDP Growth Estimates', Arvind Subramanian said he had indicated his doubts on the growth numbers in the Economic Survey in 2015 as well as mid-year Economic Analysis. New Delhi: Sticking to his analysis that India’s economic growth has been overestimated, Arvind Subramanian said he had raised doubts about the GDP numbers in 2015 when he was the chief economic adviser of the Modi government...
More »India may have to revise downwards 'potential' growth rate from 7-8%: ex-CEA -TCA Sharad Raghavan
-The Hindu ‘Today’s 4.5% is impressive as size of the economy now is five times of 1980 levels’ New Delhi: India may have to revise downwards what is considered its “potential” rate of growth from 7-8% to bring expectations more in line with reality, former Chief Economic Adviser (CEA) Arvind Subramanian has argued in a paper. This paper comes as a follow-up to the one Mr. Subramanian published last month, in which he...
More »Why the Core of ex-CEA's Argument on India's GDP 'Overestimation' Stands -Prabhat Patnaik
-Newsclick.in After economic liberalisation, barring a brief hiatus, the growth rate has scarcely moved up compared with earlier, with manufacturing -- the sector that counts most -- often logging lower growth than before. The “gross domestic product” (GDP) is a concept rooted in an epistemic position which is intrinsically incapable of recognising the existence of a “surplus” in society. A simple example will make this clear. Suppose we have an agrarian economy...
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