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Realistic analysis shows that the Indian economy has simply taken little steps in Q1 instead of a quantum leap

There is euphoria abound about India's growth performance during the first quarter of the current fiscal. As compared to the corresponding period last year, the year-on-year (y-o-y) GDP growth in the first quarter (Q1) of 2022-23 is down. However, one should take into account the fact that the high growth performance of the real GDP in Q1 of 2021-22 was due to the low base in the corresponding period of...

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Retail inflation softens to 6.71% in July, lowest since March; here's what economists say

-BusinessToday.in The July retail inflation level is in consonance with the projection and expectations of economists. India’s retail inflation moderated to 6.71 per cent in the month of July, the retail inflation is July has come down from 7.01 per cent in the month of June. Even Reuters poll of 48 economists showed inflation, as measured by the consumer price index, likely to fall to an annual 6.78 per cent in July,...

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The Indian economic recovery seems led by profits, not wages -Niranjan Rajadhyaksha

-Livemint.com Such a recovery will be stress-tested in an economy with excess capacity. That is why wages matter The first estimates of economic growth in the September quarter indicate that India’s ongoing recovery has been better than expected. This is a good time to resurrect a question this column had raised in August: Will the economic recovery be led by profits or wages? The answer matters because it has implications for aggregate...

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Coronavirus lockdown: Industrial output shrank 16.7% in March 2020

-The Hindu All categories of manufacturing industries showed a contraction in production, with the worst affected being the automobile sector India’s factory output plummeted to record lows in March, with the Index of Industrial Production contracting 16.7%, reflecting the drastic impact of the countrywide lockdown that began on March 25. This comes after a positive growth of 4.5% recorded in February. Manufacturing sector output slumped 20% in March, while electricity generation shrank almost...

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March core sector output slumps 6.5%

-The Hindu Sharper contraction likely in Index of Industrial Production. Output at India’s core sector contracted by 6.5% in March, Commerce Ministry data show, reflecting the early impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent nationwide lockdown. The index of eight core sector industries, which form 40% of the weight of items included in the broader Index of Industrial Production (IIP), reflected a contraction in key parts of the economy in March, according...

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