Private weather forecaster Skymet expects the upcoming June-September monsoon to be 'below normal' to the tune of 94% of the long period average (LPA), raising concerns about food grain production in the country. In January, Skymet had forecast the monsoon 2023 to be sub-par and now retains the same outlook. "Courtesy Triple-Dip-La NINa, southwest monsoon observed above normal/normal rainfall for the last four consecutive seasons. Now, La NINa has ended. Likelihood...
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Rural Consumption Stays Sluggish; Weather poses risk to recovery - Gireesh Chandra Prasad
Livemint While India staged a double-digit rebound in household consumption in FY22 which is set to expand at over 7% this fiscal, experts point out that India’s consumption story has a weakness — rural folk tighteNINg their belt in the face of inflation. The silver liNINg is that the worst may be over, unless El NINo conditions disrupt the arrival of the rains and dampen a consumption revival, experts said. Gross domestic product...
More »Real Wages Declined for Rural Indians in 2022, a Year When the Economy Somewhat Recovered
The year 2022 was supposed to mark the recovery of the Indian economy from the Covid-19 pandemic and lockdowns of the preceding two years. However, the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February pushed up prices of food, fuel and fertilizer worldwide. In India consumer price inflation, which had declined to under 5 percent in the September-November period of 2021, has steadily increased, staying above 6 percent throughout 2022. What happened to rural incomes in 2022? An...
More »What if El NINo materialises in 2023? - Vinson Kurian
Hindu Businessline El NINo is one piece in the mammoth jigsaw puzzle that the Pacific Ocean and its seasonal climatic patterns typify. Being the largest single body of water, the Pacific has an outsized influence on weather and climate across the globe. During El Niño, trade winds weaken and warm water gets pushed back East of the Pacific, towards the West coast of the Americas. Generally, El Niño occurs more frequently than...
More »Oil Imports From Russia in The First NINe Months of 2022-23 Are More Than 9 Times import in the previous year - Bharath Kancharla
Data indicates that the overall imports from Russia in the first NINe months of 2022-23 are already more than the thrice the value in the whole of 2021-22. In the case of petroleum products, this is more than 9 times. Factly.in Factly.in, using data from the Department of Commerce's Export-Import Databank, has estimated that from April-December 2022, the total value of all imports from Russia was worth $32.82 billion, a majority of...
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