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Fall in India nominal GDP growth in FY24 to challenge fiscal math - Ira Dugal

Reuters India's nominal GDP growth is likely to fall in FY 2023-24, hurting tax collections and putting pressure on the federal government to reduce the budget gap by cutting expenses ahead of national elections in 2024. Nominal GDP growth, which includes inflation, is the benchmark used to estimate tax collections in the upcoming budget to be presented on Feb. 1. It is estimated to be around 15.4% for the current financial year....

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Despite insipid manufacturing show, India’s GDP to grow 7% this fiscal: NSO -Vikas Dhoot

-The Hindu With GDP estimated to have clocked a 9.7% uptick in the first six months, the advance estimate implies that growth will moderate to 4.5% in the second half. India’s Real GDP is expected to grow 7% in 2022-23, slowing from 8.7% in FY22, as per the First Advance Estimates of National Income for the year released by the National Statistical Office (NSO) on Friday. With GDP estimated to have clocked a...

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The arithmetic for Tamil Nadu as a $1 trillion economy -C Rangarajan and KR Shanmugam

-The Hindu Reaching the target by 2030-31 has to be ruled out, as it requires a nominal annual growth rate of 18.2%; instead, the scenario can be 2033-34, with the required real rate of growth at 9% The Chief Minister of Tamil Nadu has set Tamil Nadu the goal of becoming a trillion dollar economy (by 2030), as he has indicated over the past year. This is a good aspirational goal. Tamil...

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India’s Manufacturing Growth Slowdown a Decadal Problem -Deepanshu Mohan

-TheWire.in In India’s growth trajectory, for over a decade, domestic private investment levels have remained consistently low and so has (domestic) manufacturing growth.  As per recent quarterly estimates, India’s growth rate slowed to 6.3% in the September quarter of 2022-23. There is evidence of a notable contraction in output of manufacturing that’s pulling down growth. This author has previously argued that quarterly growth estimates may not reveal the real state of an economy....

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India's fabric -Sumit Roy and Murli Dhar

-The Telegraph Demand for sustainable or organic cotton on the rise, providing an opportunity for the country to excel A few years ago, images of the drying up of the eastern bed of the Aral Sea had shocked millions. It was linked to the widespread growing of unsustainable cotton, backed by the Uzbekistan government, to pocket greater forex earnings and satiate the demands of the global fashion industry. The demand for sustainable...

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