-BusinessToday.in Two years prior to demonetisation, the currency, as well as the nominal growth in the economy, was in the range of 10-12 per cent. But in the last two years, currency in circulation has grown by 14-16 per cent whereas the nominal GDP growth has been lower. Five years after demonetisation, the cash in the system is back at a much higher level. The government had demonetised the high-value notes of...
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How India’s informal economy is shrinking, and why that’s good news in the long term -Ila Patnaik and Radhika Pandey
-ThePrint.in Greater formalisation will see a shift from low-paying, labour-intensive jobs in informal sector to more productive, formal-sector jobs. This could lead to disruption in short term. A report issued by the State Bank of India (SBI) last month estimated that India’s informal economy has shrunk to 15-20 percent of the GDP in 2020-21 from 52 percent in 2017-18. The report uses employment and digitisation to assess the extent of formalization in...
More »Excise duty relief on petrol, diesel to cost ₹45,000 cr to exchequer: Nomura
-PTI/ Livemint.com Nomura expects India's fiscal deficit to come at 6.5 per cent as against the earlier expectation of 6.2 per cent and underlined that it will still be lower than the budgeted 6.8 per cent target The excise duty cuts on diesel and petrol will cost ₹45,000 crore and lead to a 0.3 percentage point widening on the Centre's fiscal deficit, a foreign brokerage said on Thursday. Going by the overall consumption,...
More »The invisible churn in India’s labour markets -Abhishek Jha
-Hindustan Times A country’s unemployment rate can increase or decrease over time, and people can move from one form of employment to another. But headline numbers on unemployment rate and kind of employment do not tell us about the degree of churn in the labour market. One of the most basic concepts in economics is stock versus flow. Stock is a variable measured at a point in time. An individual’s net worth...
More »Informal sector shrank sharply in 2020-21: SBI report -Vikas Dhoot
-The Hindu Informal workers continue to bear the brunt of pandemic’s adverse effects, says SBI report Signalling a greater shift towards formalisation of the economy, the share of the large informal sector in overall economic activity dipped sharply in 2020-21 even as informal workers continue to bear the brunt of the pandemic’s adverse effects, the SBI said in a research report. Concluding that the share of the informal economy may have shrunk to...
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