-The Indian Express In its latest World Economic Outlook Update, released Tuesday, the IMF predicted that China would grow 8.1 per cent in 2021, followed by Spain (5.9 per cent) and France (5.5 per cent). The Indian economy will stage a strong rebound and grow as much as 11.5 per cent on year in FY22, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Tuesday, revising up its earlier forecast of an 8.8 per...
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Two Key Numbers to Look Out for in the Upcoming Budget 2021 -Jayati Ghosh
-TheWire.in The most important concern is that of increasing public spending. There are really only two numbers to look out for in the forthcoming budget: how much did the government claim to have spent in 2020-21, and how much does it intend to spend in 2021-22. These two numbers will determine whether there is any real hope of sustained macroeconomic recovery in the near future, notwithstanding any claims of green shoots or revival...
More »Mining in India equals selling the family gold -Rahul Basu
-The Hindu Treating mineral sale proceeds as revenue or income hides the real transaction — the sale of inherited wealth The principle that the economy must be “sustainable” — we cannot compromise the ability of future generations to meet their needs — is beyond question. Climate change and high levels of consumption already threaten to rob future generations of a planet that is liveable. The principle of Intergenerational Equity would make it...
More »Financial boom at a time of economic stagnation -Sunanda Sen
-The Hindu The paradox becomes clearer by recognising the circuit of financial flows beyond the Real Economy Divergences between the booming financial and the stagnant real sectors, which appear rather confounding as well as disconcerting, warrant an explanation. Enumerating the facts in India’s major secondary stock market, the Sensex (the benchmark index of the BSE Limited, or formerly the Bombay Stock Exchange Ltd.) has been found tracking an upward path, from 40,817 on...
More »The fiscal situation will not stabilise in 2020-21 unless consumption improves -Soumya Kanti Ghosh and Tapas Parida
-The Indian Express The Union budget should focus on enhancing credit flows to the small and marginal farmers, increase investment in health and education. The first advance estimates of GDP for 2020-21 are much better than the earlier market consensus and shows the inherent strengths of the Indian economy. The economy is expected to contract by 7.7 per cent implying a COVID-19 induced loss of Rs 9.61 lakh crore in real terms...
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