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Finance ministry has a poor forecasting record -Sharmadha Srinivasan, Prakhar Misra and Niranjan Rajadhyaksha

-Livemint.com Given the over-optimistic revenue estimates and under-budgeted expenditure, the FinMin’s budget projections should be taken with a pinch of salt Dark clouds are gathering over the fiscal horizon. Finance minister Arun Jaitley will table an interim budget on 1 February—just weeks before India goes to polls. There’s a growing consensus among analysts that the government will miss its revenue target for the year, largely because the collections from the goods and services...

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Factors underlying the Centre-RBI conflict -Narendar Pani

-The Hindu Business Line Realising that DeMo pulverised MSMEs, an anxious Centre wants to hurriedly make amends. But loan disbursals may not help The spat between the government and the RBI is primarily in the realm of macroeconomic issues like the size of the reserves the central bank should hold and the methods of monitoring loans that could go bad. Yet, the political intensity of the government’s moves cannot be missed. Apart from...

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Mechanical solutions -Harish Damodaran

-The Indian Express Forcing machinery on farmers without giving a thought to the economics of their utilisation can prove counter-productive. There are three main impediments to farm mechanisation in India. The first is cost, which, for a standard 50-horsepower tractor, today averages around Rs 6.5-6.8 lakh. But a tractor is just a source of power and traction, and only as good as the farm implements it can pull. The most basic tractor-drawn tiller/cultivator...

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Factory workers in India -CP Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh

-NetworkIdeas.org Recent data from the Annual Survey of Industries, covering up to 2015-16, provide some interesting insights into the changing nature of industrial employment in India. In the decade up to 2015-16, there was a significant increase in the number of factory workers, by around 40 per cent. This expansion can be dated from around 2005-06 onwards and especially up to 2011-12. This is to be expected, given that that was...

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Target incomes, not prices -Puja Mehra

-The Hindu Income support must be provided to at least the most vulnerable farmers Our farm policy is so bad, the proverb ‘you reap what you sow’ isn’t true any longer. A bumper crop is no different from a drought, for it too depresses farm incomes. Good rains, excessive sowing and the bumper harvest last year produced gluts in the market that sent the prices of many crops, and therefore farm incomes, crashing....

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