-The Hindu As inflation is driven by supply-side factors, tax policy can be used to cushion its impact With the Union Budget 10 days away, many economic observers are now focused on what support the Centre can offer the economy, which is still struggling to recover from the pandemic. Some analysts believe that the government must keep its spending in check to prevent price rise from getting out of control. Retail inflation...
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Economists question Reserve Bank of India’s inflation claims -
-The Telegraph The central bank on Wednesday surprised observers when it retained its retail inflation forecast at 5.3 per cent for 2021-22 Economists have questioned the RBI’s projection that inflation will glide down to 4 per cent levels by the end of the next fiscal. They said the upward pressure on prices is likely to persist at least in the near-term on higher input costs amid supply chain bottlenecks. The RBI on Wednesday surprised...
More »Retail inflation eased to 5.6% in July
-The Hindu Industrial output growth halves from 28.6% in May to 13.6% in June Retail inflation cooled slightly to 5.6% in July, slipping below the central bank’s upper tolerance threshold of 6% for the first time in three months, even as industrial output growth halved from 28.6% in May to 13.6% in June, as base effects from the national lockdown of 2020 begin to fade. Food prices at the consumer level played a...
More »Fixing software bugs in India’s economy -Arvind Subramanian and Josh Felman
-Livemint.com * Beyond the Budget, the key to reviving growth lies in improving economic stewardship. Here’s how * In the upcoming Union Budget, measures must be urgently taken in order to address the protracted and worsening Twin Balance Sheet problem, including revitalizing the IBC. NEW DELHI: The upcoming Union Budget is a critical one, for it offers an opportunity to reset the economy so that it can boom again in the coming years....
More »Questionable data, little room for exuberance -R Nagaraj
-The Hindu Using the latest quarterly estimates to point to an economic rebound seems flawed; recovery is likely to remain modest The decline in the quarterly GDP growth rate, by 7.5% during July-September 2020 (FY 2020-21: Q2), compared to a 24% decline in the first quarter has raised expectations of a sharp economic recovery after the novel coronavirus pandemic and the national lockdown. But is such optimism justified? A tracker India’s GDP at current...
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