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Economic lessons for India from the Evergrande crisis in China -Vivek Kaul

-Livemint.com Real estate must contribute more to our economy and that calls for sectoral reforms and cheap homes Over the past few weeks, the financial and economic world has been worried about the likely collapse of Evergrande, the world’s most-indebted real estate company. At the same time, the bigger issue of China’s dependence for growth on its real-estate sector remains. In a working paper titled, Peak China Housing, Kenneth S. Rogoff and Yuanchen...

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Even with 20.1% GDP growth, the economy has been set back by three years -Vivek Kaul

-Livemint.com This is the highest GDP growth that India has seen since the country started reporting quarterly GDP data for the quarter ended June 1996 The gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the period April to June 2021 came in at a record 20.1%. GDP is the measure of the economic size of a country during a particular period. This is the highest growth that India has seen since the country started reporting...

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The bad news hidden in the good news on job numbers -Vivek Kaul

-Livemint.com The lack of jobs is forcing many people to stop looking for one and thus drop out of the workforce. Here’s the good news first. According to the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE), the unemployment rate for June 2021 fell to 9.17%. It was at 11.9% in May. The following chart plots the unemployment rate since January 2016, the period for which this data is available. As can be seen from...

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Rural term deposits fall for first time in eight years -Vivek Kaul

-Livemint.com As of 31 March, the total outstanding term deposits with banks in rural India contracted by 1.05% to ₹6.99 trillion from a year earlier Every three months, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) declares region wise data for term deposits. As of 31 March, the total term deposits of commercial banks in India rose 8.42% to ₹86.4 trillion from a year earlier. Term deposits are money that depositors keep in a bank...

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Covid has accentuated the private cost of India’s public failure -Vivek Kaul

-Livemint.com The health crisis will boost the trend of India’s well-off opting out to create parallel infrastructure On 2 May, the total number of active covid cases in the country crossed 3.4 million. The number was at 5,80,387 on 31 March, implying a jump of around 488% in a little over a month’s time. Unlike the first wave, this time around the well-to-do middle class has also been heavily impacted by the...

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