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How the Crude Oil Price Spike Will Upend India's Fiscal Balancing Act -Kaushal Shroff

-TheWire.in India will have to brace itself for an inflationary shock that will only serve to bludgeon a COVID-ravaged economy. Russia’s offensive refuses to pause. Since February 24, a little over 2.3 million Ukrainians have fled seeking a safe haven while the Russian army is upping the stakes and making the war exponentially dirtier by attacking civilian enclaves, non-military infrastructure and even hospitals. On March 10, Russia retaliated to the banking, business and...

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Real wage rates of the rural workers hardly increased during the last 6 years

In the absence of income or expenditure-based headcount ratio, the growth in the real wages (i.e., nominal wages adjusted against retail inflation) of the manual workers is considered to be a good proxy to assess the trends in poverty. This is because the manual, unskilled/ semi-skilled labourers exist at the bottom of the pyramid or economic hierarchy, and most of them belong to the social categories Scheduled Castes (SCs) and...

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Shock-proofing the economy: Quality jobs the best possible safety net -TN Ninan

-Business Standard Since jobs will remain scarce for the foreseeable future, an unemployment allowance should be the next big social-security initiative, writes T N Ninan Crises in the Indian economy used to be the “normal”. In the 12 years from 1962 to 1974, India fought three wars, suffered four droughts that produced famine in places like Bihar, and lived through the first oil shock, which saw a quadrupling of crude oil prices. The...

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India’s new budget: much fanfare, missed opportunity -Happy Pant and Sarah Farooqui

-CBGA Blog India presented its latest Union Budget (for FY 2022 -23) in early February amid much hope, as the country is still reeling from the aftermath of Covid-19 pandemic, which has lasted for two years. To deal with the pandemic induced socio-economic crisis, countries across the world  have been announcing policy measures outside of their annual budgets. The Indian government, too, made many such announcements, but given the scale of the...

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India's Economy Faces A Potential Stagflation Risk From Ukraine War -Sunil Prabhu

-NDTV.com The Indian economy faces a potential threat of stagflation from the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, driven by trade disruptions and rising oil prices. The Indian economy faces a potential threat of stagflation from the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, driven by trade disruptions and rising oil prices which will push already high inflation further up, which will hurt growth prospects. Gross Domestic Data released on Monday showed the economy slowed in the October-December quarter, even...

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