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India’s GDP growth contracts 23.9%: What is the economics behind the math? -Udit Misra and Nushaiba Iqbal

-The Indian Express India GDP Q1 Data: Demand from individual citizens and private businesses plummeted in Q1, increase in government’s demand made up for just 6% of this fall Although most people expected India’s GDP to show substantial contraction when the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) released the data for the first quarter (April, May, June) of the current financial year on Monday, the broad consensus was that the decline...

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Fears of contraction, GDP data today will mark Covid effect & phase of recession -Aanchal Magazine

-The Indian Express With economic activity severely disrupted in the first two months of this fiscal, hit hard by a series of localised lockdowns and rising Covid-19 cases, GDP contraction for the first quarter is being pegged at an average 20 per cent by economists, with the de-growth range between 15.2 per cent and 25.5 per cent. The April-June Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will mark India’s entry into a recessionary phase —...

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A 29% non-govt GDP fall is behind abysmal growth -Vivek Kaul

-Livemint.com The collapse of GDP growth by 23.9% for the Apr to Jun period isn’t a surprise. The economy was under a strict lockdown for most of the time to contain the pandemic. Nevertheless, a little digging throws up interesting trends. Mint takes a look. * What does the GDP figure highlight? One way to measure the GDP is to add private consumption expenditure, government consumption expenditure, investment and net exports (exports minus...

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Govt blames Covid, but payment stalled year ago -Aanchal Magazine

-The Indian Express The economic slowdown, which has been underway for almost three years now, began to adversely impact GST revenue collections in August last year. While the Centre Thursday chose to pin much of the blame for the delays on GST compensation payments to the slowdown inflicted by the pandemic, the delays preceded the Covid-19 shock by almost a year – when payments due for August-September 2019 got delayed. Since then,...

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For the first time, farm sector set to grow even as GDP sees a contraction -Harish Damodaran

-The Indian Express The country’s GDP registered an annual decline, at minus 5.2%, last in 1979-80. But that year also recorded negative growth for agricultural GDP, at minus 12.8%. April-June may be the first time that India’s economy would contract year-on-year since the government started coming out with quarterly estimates of GDP from 1996-97. But the data for the quarter, to be released by the National Statistical Office on August 31, could...

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