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Claims vs reality: India's bleak job picture -Santosh Mehrotra and Tuhinsubhra Giri

-Deccan Herald Poor pandemic management has added 10 million youth to the ranks of the unemployed in the country India’s GDP growth rate has been slowing consistently since 2016, thanks to consistent economic policy mistakes made by the Union government, starting with demonetisation. It hurt the non-farm unorganised sector MSMEs, as it hurt agriculture (third year running, after two years of drought in 2014 and 2015). Between them, these sectors are responsible for...

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India’s economy and the challenge of informality -R Nagaraj and Radhicka Kapoor

-The Hindu Policy efforts to formalise the economy will have limited results as the bulk of informal units are petty producers Since 2016, the Government has made several efforts to formalise the economy. Currency demonetisation, introduction of the Goods and Services Tax (GST), digitalisation of financial transactions and enrolment of informal sector workers on numerous government Internet portals are all meant to encourage the formalisation of the economy. But why the impetus...

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Should the government loosen its purse strings? -Prashanth Perumal

-The Hindu As inflation is driven by supply-side factors, tax policy can be used to cushion its impact With the Union Budget 10 days away, many economic observers are now focused on what support the Centre can offer the economy, which is still struggling to recover from the pandemic. Some analysts believe that the government must keep its spending in check to prevent price rise from getting out of control. Retail inflation...

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Oil, budget and economic sentiment -Roshan Kishore and Vineet Sachdev

-Hindustan Times Traditionally, Union budgets have mattered for people at large because of two reasons: prices of goods and income tax rates.There is some merit in the argument that inflation is a bigger dampener on economic sentiment in India than low growth rates There is some merit in the argument that inflation is a bigger dampener on economic sentiment in India than low growth rates. Traditionally, Union budgets have mattered for people...

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How real is the GST boost? -AK Bhattacharya

-Business Standard The share of GST collections in GDP has stagnated, even as IGST revenues from imports have gone up sharply The Modi government is elated over the steady improvement in the collection of Goods and Services Tax (GST) in recent months. Along with the sharp growth in collections of other Union taxes, GST collections have also crossed the Rs 1-trillion mark for each of the last six months beginning July 2021. Please...

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