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Govt’s April Fool’s joke on small savings schemes would have hurt the economy -Vivek Kaul

-Livemint.com * Trying to project lower interest rates as a panacea for everything isn’t the right way to go about it. The central government just played an April Fool’s joke on a large section of India’s middle class, which invests in small savings schemes. Late Wednesday evening, the government announced a substantial cut in interest rates on small savings schemes for the three months to June. The interest rates on Senior Citizen Savings Scheme...

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10 major points made by the Economic Survey -Vivek Kaul

-Livemint.com The Survey expects the Indian economy to grow by 11% in real terms (adjusted for inflation) during 2021-22. This is close to the growth of 11.5% forecast by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). This is good news. The Economic Survey of 2020-21 was published earlier in the day today. Like in the previous years, the Economic Survey tries to summarise the state of the Indian economy across various dimensions. Here are ten...

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The anatomy of a stock market bubble staring India in the face -Vivek Kaul

-Livemint.com Easily buyable shares, a gush of cheap money and a burst of speculation have over-inflated prices On 18 December, the price to earnings (PE) ratio of the Nifty 50 stock market index reached an all-time high of 37.84. This was around 87% higher than the average PE ratio of 20.26 since 1 January 1999. The PE ratios of the Nifty 50 and other broader indices continue to remain at extremely high levels....

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A 29% non-govt GDP fall is behind abysmal growth -Vivek Kaul

-Livemint.com The collapse of GDP growth by 23.9% for the Apr to Jun period isn’t a surprise. The economy was under a strict lockdown for most of the time to contain the pandemic. Nevertheless, a little digging throws up interesting trends. Mint takes a look. * What does the GDP figure highlight? One way to measure the GDP is to add private consumption expenditure, government consumption expenditure, investment and net exports (exports minus...

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India can learn a lot from Korea’s economic boom -Vivek Kaul

-Livemint.com In 1961, the per capita income of India and South Korea was similar at $85.4 and $93.8. In 2019, there was a huge difference as they stood at $2,104.1 and $31,762, respectively. How did that happen and what can India learn from it? Mint explains * What has happened between 1950s to now? As Arvind Panagariya, the first vice-chairman of NITI Aayog, writes in India Unlimited: “In the early 1950s, South Korea,...

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