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IMD gets its August forecast wrong -Jacob Koshy

-The Hindu 8.5 % less rain than normal against prediction of excess. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has erred on its forecast for monsoon rain in August. In June, it said that India would get more rain than it usually did but as of August 31, the country got significantly less — or 8.5 % less rain — than what’s normal for the month, according to the IMD website. While this wouldn’t affect...

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Supercomputer to forecast monsoon with dynamical model -Jacob Koshy

-The Hindu New Delhi: Next year, India’s annual summer monsoon forecast may be made by a supercomputer running a dynamical model. The Secretary, Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES), Madhavan Rajeevan, said the dynamical model, being tested at the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, (IITM) Pune for a decade was “ready for operational purposes next year.” A dynamical monsoon model works by simulating the weather on powerful computers and extrapolating it over particular timeframes. Though...

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Seed idea: this app tells farmers when to sow

-The Hindu Business Line   Icrisat-Microsoft develop solution that analyses massive data to predict the right time Hyderabad: Forget about weather SMSes or marketing tips to farmers over the phone. Now, an app-based solution can tell farmers when to sow their seeds. Sifting massive volumes of data, this app will help farmers in Andhra Pradesh to pick the perfect sowing week. The advice could vary from farmer to farmer and from village to...

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What to make of the latest IMD monsoon forecast? -Vidya Venkat

-The Hindu The Hindu decided to find out whether these forecasts have worked in the past. Answer (based on 10 years of forecast data): not very accurately Chennai: Following the India Meteorological Department’s forecast of an ‘above normal’ monsoon of 106 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA) on Tuesday, The Hindu decided to find out whether these forecasts have worked in the past. Answer (based on 10 years of forecast...

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Rains may break 2-yr El Nino jinx

-Business Standard After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan's hopes of a normal monsoon this year - after two back-to-back droughts - to boost rural demand could be fulfilled. Though the summer is expected to be hotter than usual, global and domestic forecasts point to good rains this year. Officials of both the weather department and private forecasters said the...

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