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Shock slowdown -R Suryamurthy

-The Telegraph New Delhi: The Indian economy grew at its slowest pace in more than six years at 5 per cent in the first quarter of 2019-20, deepening worries about subdued factory output and resultant job losses. It also fanned concerns about the Narendra Modi government’s ability to crank up demand amid clear indications that urban consumption had also started to slacken after rural demand went into a deep rut several quarters...

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Of shells, companies and GDP -R Nagaraj

-The Hindu The government must put the MCA-21 data under scrutiny and bring transparency in calculating corporate output About a third of non-government non-financial companies in the services sector are not traceable is the finding of a National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) survey for 2016-17 that has just been released. Since such entities could be shell/fake/bogus companies included in the MCA-21 database of “active” companies used for estimating the gross domestic...

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'Firms missing from database will not affect GDP calculation' -TCA Sharad Raghavan

-The Hindu Shell companies in MCA-21 submitting balance sheets regularly very much part of measurement, says former chief statistician The deficiencies found in the MCA-21 database of the corporate sector, where more than a third of the sample companies were either untraceable, out of coverage, or closed, will not have a major impact on the calculation of GDP and GVA, according to prominent statisticians closely associated with the subject. A recent report by...

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Growth in Agri GVA deflator shows a declining trend in comparison to growth in other sectoral GVA deflators

Recent studies and media reports have confirmed that Indian farmers are facing non-remunerative and sometimes falling prices. A past news alert by the Inclusive Media for Change team indicated deflation in wholesale prices of 8 kharif crops (viz. maize, arhar, moong, urad, groundnut, soybean, sunflower seed and Niger seed) on average between 2016-17 and 2018-19. Based on data analysis, that news alert also demonstrated how the rural areas have witnessed...

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Unmet farm challenge

-The Indian Express Policy still hasn’t adjusted itself to address the crisis of agricultural produce deflation. India’s agricultural output grew by hardly 2.7 per cent during the last October-December quarter. That isn’t bad, if one takes the corresponding year-on-year increases for the preceding 10 quarters; these have ranged between 4.2 per cent and 7.5 per cent. The cause for concern is that these reasonably good production growth rates in “real” terms...

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