-Livemint.com In the last decade, the rural constituent has emerged an important factor for overall private final consumption, which forms more than half (55-60% range) of India’s demand side GDP An above-average monsoon is commonly expected to be a key demand driver in 2016-17. Gross domestic product (GDP) forecasts for the year incorporate a revival in rural consumption—a segment that suffered severe setback from two successive years of adverse rainfall. In...
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To plan or not to plan: that is the question -Deepak Nayyar
-Livemint.com It is not possible to provide ‘maximum governance’ with ‘minimum government’. We need ‘good government’ for ‘good governance’, says Deepak Nayyar The erstwhile Planning Commission closed down soon after Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced the decision on 15 August 2014. Its demise was attributable partly to the ideological belief that planning is passé in this age of markets and globalization and partly to its poor performance combined with growing irrelevance. The...
More »TCA Anant, Chief Statistician of India, speaks to Dilasha Seth and Indivjal Dhasmana
-Business Standard As economic growth came in at 7.9 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2015-16, many argue that much of it could be attributed to discrepancies. Chief Statistician of India T C A Anant dispels these notions. He tells Dilasha Seth and Indivjal Dhasmana that the principal method of calculating the gross domestic product (GDP) is by taking into account the production-side estimates and not an expenditure one. Edited...
More »Happy ending and twist in growth story
-The Telegraph New Delhi: Official statistics suggest the juggernaut of India's economy has started to roll at a clattering pace. But some analysts stayed cautious, keeping in mind the low investment levels. The Central Statistical Organisation (CSO) today said the gross domestic product (GDP) - the broadest measure of the economy - had grown at a robust 7.9 per cent in the fourth quarter (January-March 2016), which enabled the government to fulfil...
More »Job growth at a snail’s pace -Santosh Mehrotra
-The Hindu For jobs to grow, consumer demand has to improve consistently. This can only happen with an industrial policy, which India has not had since 1991 There will be no demographic dividend without growth in industrial and service sector jobs. The underlying logic behind a dividend is that as jobs grow, incomes rise and so do savings. Based on higher savings, the investment rate to GDP grows, resulting in faster GDP...
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