-The Times of India NEW DELHI: Raising the spectre of a second successive year of deficient rains, the India Meteorological Department has predicted below normal rainfall for the upcoming monsoon season with a 33% probability of rains being less than 90%, commonly referred to as a drought. "The monsoon seasonal rainfall is likely to be 93% of the long-period average with a model error of plus or minus 5%," said Union earth...
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Mint index of rural distress shows deepening crisis in villages -Roshan Kishore
-Livemint If the IMD forecast of below normal monsoon comes true, the Mint index of rural distress is likely to rise to its decadal high Indian farmers are trapped in a new cycle of distress, and the first Monsoon forecast by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) released on Wednesday indicates the rains could play truant for the second year in a row. A Mint index of rural distress—based on the growth of...
More »Impact of El Nino on rural incomes can hurt India’s growth projections
-Hindustan Times Some global meteorological agencies have pointed to the rising risks of an El Nino weather pattern this year which can trigger a poor monsoon in India, potentially posing an immediate challenge for the Narendra Modi government. El Nino, literally “little boy” in Spanish, is a climate phenomenon marked by higher sea-surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific. Its effects vary, from storms in California to drought in Australia and India. ...
More »India expecting normal monsoon this year, says forecaster -Amit Bhattacharya
-The Times of India NEW DELHI: The monsoon is likely to beat the adverse impact of an El Nino and provide normal rains in the country this year, private weather forecaster Skymet said on Thursday, in the first prediction on the 2015 rainy season by an Indian agency. About a week before the India Meteorological Department releases its first long range forecast, Skymet said it expects 102% rains during the monsoon season...
More »Monsoon calling -Vinson Kurian
-The Hindu Business Line The recent devastation of crops shows that the Indian economy continues to be a ‘gamble’ on the rain. But can India Meteorological Department’s new model make it predictable? Moisture wrecks a farmer's life. Since February this year, lakhs of farmers across 14 states were left with damaged crops. Unseasonal rains destroyed crops on 11 million hectares spread over Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra and Punjab....
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