-PTI In a new paper 'Validating India's GDP Growth Estimates', Arvind Subramanian said he had indicated his doubts on the growth numbers in the Economic Survey in 2015 as well as mid-year Economic Analysis. New Delhi: Sticking to his analysis that India’s economic growth has been overestimated, Arvind Subramanian said he had raised doubts about the GDP numbers in 2015 when he was the chief economic adviser of the Modi government...
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India may have to revise downwards 'potential' growth rate from 7-8%: ex-CEA -TCA Sharad Raghavan
-The Hindu ‘Today’s 4.5% is impressive as size of the economy now is five times of 1980 levels’ New Delhi: India may have to revise downwards what is considered its “potential” rate of growth from 7-8% to bring expectations more in line with reality, former Chief Economic Adviser (CEA) Arvind Subramanian has argued in a paper. This paper comes as a follow-up to the one Mr. Subramanian published last month, in which he...
More »Getting the GDP numbers right -S Mahendra Dev
-The Indian Express Estimates are not perfect, but the process is revised and fine-tuned. Former Chief Economic Adviser Arvind Subramanian’s recent paper claims that the Indian GDP growth may have been overestimated by 2.5 per cent per annum between the period 2011-12 and 2016-17. A note by Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC) rejects the methodology, arguments and conclusions of Subramanian’s paper. A study done at our institute by Ashima Goyal...
More »India GDP overestimation: more evidence -Nikita Kwatra
-Livemint.com India’s actual growth rate over the past few years may have been in the range of 5-5.5% over the past few years, according to a new study Last month, a research paper by the former chief economic adviser to the finance ministry, Arvind Subramanian, reignited the controversy surrounding India’s GDP calculations. In his paper, Subramanian suggested that India’s growth rate in recent years had been grossly overestimated --- a claim that...
More »Why the Core of ex-CEA's Argument on India's GDP 'Overestimation' Stands -Prabhat Patnaik
-Newsclick.in After economic liberalisation, barring a brief hiatus, the growth rate has scarcely moved up compared with earlier, with manufacturing -- the sector that counts most -- often logging lower growth than before. The “gross domestic product” (GDP) is a concept rooted in an epistemic position which is intrinsically incapable of recognising the existence of a “surplus” in society. A simple example will make this clear. Suppose we have an agrarian economy...
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