-The Indian Express Government should explore all avenues to expand capital expenditures From a level of 8.1 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2017-18, quarterly GDP growth fell to 5 per cent in the first quarter of 2019-20, a fall of 3.1 percentage points. The slowdown of the Indian economy is no longer in dispute. Thankfully, the government has come out of denial mode. The critical question is: What should...
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Savings, investment will improve economy: Rangarajan
-The Hindu The former RBI Governor says even if India became a $5 trillion economy by 2025, it would retain the same classification as its population would have touched 1.4 billion If the government wanted the economy to grow fast then it should act on savings and investment rates, said C. Rangarajan, former governor of Reserve Bank of India. He was speaking at the inauguration of a two-day international conference on contemporary practices...
More »Increasing investment to stimulate growth -C Rangarajan & DK Srivastava
-The Hindu Attention needs to be paid to both cyclical and structural dimensions of India’s present economic slowdown India’s current economic slowdown is due to a combination of two underlying trends. First, there is the short-run cyclical slowdown exhibited by a number of high-frequency indicators, reflecting a significant fall in demand, especially for sectors such as automobiles, consumer durables and housing. Second, there is the more serious long-term fall in investment and savings...
More »What happened to poverty during the first term of Modi? -Himanshu
-Livemint.com Consumption declined over the period 2014-18, confirming fears that people ended up worse off Various data from the financial to the corporate sector over the last two months are confirming the worst fears of a sharp decline in demand in the economy. With stagnant investment and exports, there are clear signs of a sustained slowdown. Most of this was well known to anybody following the Indian economy, barring the government, which...
More »Getting the GDP numbers right -S Mahendra Dev
-The Indian Express Estimates are not perfect, but the process is revised and fine-tuned. Former Chief Economic Adviser Arvind Subramanian’s recent paper claims that the Indian GDP growth may have been overestimated by 2.5 per cent per annum between the period 2011-12 and 2016-17. A note by Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC) rejects the methodology, arguments and conclusions of Subramanian’s paper. A study done at our institute by Ashima Goyal...
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