-The Indian Express The Economic Survey, released by Chief Economic Advisor S Krishnamurathy a day before the Union Budget, pegged the nominal GDP growth at 12 per cent while the budget projected it at 11 per cent. New Delhi: Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman Wednesday dismissed speculations surrounding the GDP figures quoted in the Union Budget, saying “every number is authentic”. Replying to the debate on her maiden Union Budget in the Lok...
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Getting the GDP numbers right -S Mahendra Dev
-The Indian Express Estimates are not perfect, but the process is revised and fine-tuned. Former Chief Economic Adviser Arvind Subramanian’s recent paper claims that the Indian GDP growth may have been overestimated by 2.5 per cent per annum between the period 2011-12 and 2016-17. A note by Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC) rejects the methodology, arguments and conclusions of Subramanian’s paper. A study done at our institute by Ashima Goyal...
More »India GDP overestimation: more evidence -Nikita Kwatra
-Livemint.com India’s actual growth rate over the past few years may have been in the range of 5-5.5% over the past few years, according to a new study Last month, a research paper by the former chief economic adviser to the finance ministry, Arvind Subramanian, reignited the controversy surrounding India’s GDP calculations. In his paper, Subramanian suggested that India’s growth rate in recent years had been grossly overestimated --- a claim that...
More »The case for doubting India's GDP numbers -V Anantha Nageswaran
-Livemint.com Arvind Subramanian’s conclusions about GDP growth figures are in the right direction. There’s no point being in denial Arvind Subramanian was the Chief Economic Advisor (CEA) to the Government of India from October 2014 to June 2018. Among other things, he became well known and was praised deservingly for his Economic Surveys. He made that document interesting, useful and accessible. He also took it to the country by hosting online lectures...
More »Is India overestimating its economic growth? -TCA Sharad Raghavan
-The Hindu The new GDP series has some methodological and sampling problems Former Chief Economic Adviser Arvind Subramanian recently claimed in a paper that India’s GDP growth from 2011-12 to 2016-17 was likely to have been overestimated. The Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council has rejected this claim, stating that his paper would “not stand the scrutiny of academic or policy research standards”. In a conversation moderated by T.C.A. Sharad Raghavan, Pronab Sen...
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