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Can PM Modi afford to ignore 70% of India in Budget 2018-19?

-The Economic Times NEW DELHI: The upcoming Budget poses a big challenge to Prime Minister Narendra Modi. There are too many demands on the Budget while the government is expected to stick to its fiscal deficit targets. Traditionally, Modi's Bharatiya Janta Party (BJP) has been seen to rely on middle-class voters—urban workers and small traders. But Modi's rise to power was fuelled equally by rural voters. Budget 2018-19 being the last full...

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Achchhe din's worst day

-The Telegraph The Central Statistics Office reported today that economic growth sank to a three-year low at 5.7 per cent, striking at the core of Prime Minister Narendra Modi's promise of achchhe din. The sharp slowdown is a result of the two biggest disruptive measures taken by the Modi government: demonetisation and the goods and services tax. The double whammy has badly crimped factory output and squeezed the services sector. The GDP growth...

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The spectre of deflation -Himanshu

-Livemint.com It is not just the low inflation reported in June which confirms a declining demand but also the macro fundamentals of the economy which belie any optimism of 7%-plus growth The second volume of the Economic Survey was presented on the last day of the monsoon session of Parliament on 11 August, preventing Parliament from holding a discussion on the state of the economy as outlined by the report. The second instalment,...

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That sinking feeling -MV Rajeev Gowda & Salman Soz

-The Hindu In contrast to its pronouncements, the government’s own data suggest the economy is in a deep hole Prime Minister Narendra Modi, in his Independence Day address, spoke triumphantly about how demonetisation drove ?3 lakh crore of unaccounted money into the banking system. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is still counting old notes, and unaccounted money cases are ongoing. Thus, this number is at best a guesstimate, and cannot be...

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Are farmer movements in India changing course? -Sayantan Bera

-Livemint.com Unlike the dhoti-clad, topi-wearing quintessential ‘kisan’, the new Indian farmer is vocal and tech-savvy New Delhi: In the winter of 1988 when the feisty farmer leader from Uttar Pradesh, Mahendra Singh Tikait, laid siege to Delhi with thousands of cultivators and their cattle literally creating a mess of the boat club lawns, agriculture’s share in India’s gross domestic product (GDP) was about 30%. About three decades later, the farm sector’s share in...

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