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Mind the statistics gap -C Rangarajan & S Mahendra Dev

-The Indian Express Growing divergence between consumption expenditure estimates from NSO surveys and GDP data is too big to be pushed under the carpet Recently, we had expressed concerns that with the GDP growth rate falling in the post 2011-12 period, the decline in the poverty ratio would be slow. During 2011-12 to 2018-19, both GDP and agriculture growth were lower than in the earlier period. The terms of trade were not...

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Economic growth onus falls on government

-The Telegraph Hands-off RBI cuts forecast The Reserve Bank of India’s policymakers shocked economists, industry and the Street by deciding to hit the pause button on interest rate cuts after five downward revisions this year. The six-member monetary policy committee (MPC) of the central bank also slashed its growth forecast for this financial year to 5 per cent from 6.1 per cent at the October meeting. The decision to retain the policy rate —...

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Consumption expenditure survey: Government to scrap report over bad data -Roshan Kishore

-Hindustan Times On Friday, Business Standard released leaked findings from the 2017-18 CES which showed that inflation-adjusted average monthly per capita expenditure (MPCE) declined by 3.7% in the country between 2011-12 and 2017-18, a first in four decades. The ministry of statistics and programme implementation (MOSPI) has decided “not to release the Consumer Expenditure Survey (CES) results of 2017-2018” in view of “data quality issues”, it said in a statement. On Friday,...

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New numbers show dip in growth of core infrastructure sectors

-The Indian Express The August numbers mark the first contraction in core infrastructure output since April 2019, pointing to the continuing weakness in demand conditions. New Delhi: The growth of eight infrastructure sectors contracted 0.5 per cent in August following broad-based deterioration in output across as many as five sectors, including cement and electricity. But for a turnaround in refinery products — the largest constituent of the core sector — and...

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Retail inflation inches up in June even as industrial growth slows down in May

-The Hindu Business Line A surge in the prices of meat, fish and pulses pushed the rate of retail inflation a tad higher to nearly 3.2 per cent in June. Meanwhile, industrial production still seems to be in the slow lane, with 3 per cent growth in May. Rate cut possibility These two indicators will play a key role in the monetary policy review to be undertaken by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)...

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