-Business Standard A victim of supply chain disruption is food. Even as the world looks towards India to fill the void created by the Russia-Ukraine war, a drop in paddy acreage is threatening to make the matter worse Following Russia's invasion of Ukraine and amid challenges for global food supply, PM Narendra Modi declared that India was capable of "feeding the world". However, instead of feeding the world, the govt soon restricted...
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What’s wrong with crop estimates that were off-mark last crop year -Subramani Ra Mancombu
-The Hindu Business Line Experts say current manual methods are error-prone, moot scientific process The advance crop estimate made by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers’ Welfare usually differs between the first and subsequent three ones before it comes out with the final estimate. However, the difference has seldom caused problems in the agricultural markets or led to complaints of not reflecting what the trade has felt is the ground reality. But some...
More »Macrovariable projections in uncertain times -Arun Kumar
-The Hindu International factors and faulty data will impact India’s projections of GDP, inflation and balance of payments The Fed has raised its benchmark interest rate again by a whopping 0.75%. The Reserve Bank of India has also been forced to raise interest rates further but also take other steps. These decisions in the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting are based on what the members of the MPC see as the likely...
More »In a free fall
-The Telegraph Unlike 2013, the pressure on the rupee will endure This month, the rupee’s weakening trend has occupied our attention. Media reports have relentlessly focused on its fall to a ‘lifetime-low’ on a daily frequency. The authorities, on their part, have centred on measures to ease the mounting pressures up on the currency. Memory of the 2013‘taper tantrum’ is fresh in minds and has spurred a series of actions to prevent...
More »What does dwindling central wheat stock mean for prices and production? -Krishna Veera Vanamali
-Business Standard The wheat stocks in the Central pool have dropped close to the minimum required levels because of lower procurements. What does this mean for the grain's prices and production? As global wheat prices scaled record highs this year, in part due to the Russia-Ukraine war, bread-makers in India turned to multiple price increases. Today, a loaf of sliced brown bread costs Rs 50 while multi-grain bread costs Rs 65. This is...
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