-The Indian Express In the commercial vehicles section, sales of Tata Motors, the largest commercial vehicle maker, fell by almost half as against August 2018. Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M), the second-largest manufacturer, posted a 28 per cent decline. The slowdown in the auto sector has worsened, with leading car manufacturers posting up to a 50 per cent drop in sales for August 2019 as against the corresponding month last year. Sales...
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There is a fundamental problem of demand today. At the core of it is incomes that aren't rising enough -Harish Damodaran
-The Indian Express The certainty that producers once enjoyed — of finding buyers for their wares without doing much beyond minor price adjustments to bring supply and demand into equilibrium — has ceased to exist. India traditionally never had a demand problem. On the contrary, its economy was always supply-constrained. Proof of no demand paucity is that between 2000-01 and 2015-16, domestic consumption of both finished steel and cement roughly trebled, from...
More »The Indian economy is blaring warnings, but the Modi government remains in denial -Jayati Ghosh
-Scroll.in/ qz.com While the government was busy celebrating cosmetic measures like ‘ease of doing business’ ranking, the real economy tanked. Suddenly, it seems like everything is shrinking in India: our capacity for tolerance and diversity, the space for democratic expression and dissent – and now, economic growth. The warning signs have reached a point where they cannot be ignored any longer and more people, including prominent business leaders, are speaking out. Yet, at...
More »Arvind Subramanian's GDP bombshell: Prominent economists divided over maths
-The Financial Express After former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian’s research paper re-started debate on GDP data, comments from other prominent economists have also started to pour in on the issue. After former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian’s research paper re-started debate on GDP data, comments from other prominent economists have also started to pour in on the issue. While some support the analysis and call for an independent committee to...
More »Missing demand: on economic slowdown
-The Hindu Slowdown has widened across sectors; the new government must hit the ground running A welter of data collectively and individually point to one worrying conclusion: economic momentum across sectors is slowing in the widening absence of that key ingredient, demand. Domestic sales of cars, commercial vehicles and two wheelers all contracted in April, from a year earlier, the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM) has reported. The decline of almost...
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