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Why the Modi govt's move to ditch quarterly jobs Surveys to make way for EPFO-based employment data is a mistake India -Dinesh Unnikrishnan

-Firstpost.com The labour ministry has put the Quarterly Employment Survey (QES) on the back burner as it wants to transition to computing payroll data based on Employees’ Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO) subscriptions, based on data from the Employees State Insurance Corporation (ESIC) and the Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority (PFRDA), according to this report in The Economic Times. Of course, the EPFO-based jobs data gives one a better picture about the...

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Data in a post-truth age -Sonalde Desai

-The Hindu Trust in official statistics is vital for democracy — the new policy must avoid centralisation David Spiegelhalter, president of Royal Statistical Society in the U.K., gave a most unusual presidential address in 2017. Instead of talking about esoteric statistical techniques, he talked about declining trust in numbers in a post-truth society bombarded by fake news and alternative facts. He recommended to the statistical community that the best way of inspiring...

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The Invisible Majority -Vedeika Shekhar

-The Indian Express Women form 80 per cent of urban migrants, but public policy is blind to their concerns. A recent UN report says India is on the “brink of an urban revolution”, as its population in towns and cities are expected to reach 600 million by 2031. Fuelled by migration, megacities of India (Delhi, Mumbai and Kolkata) will be among the largest urban concentrations in the world. Interestingly, the 2011 Census...

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Dear opinion pollsters: In Karnataka, there was an utter disregard for basic standards -Rahul Verma

-ThePrint.in Political science departments can contribute a lot by introducing graduate level courses on research methods. This will help understand the findings of a poll. Dear Friends (if I may call you so), I am one of you. I share your nervousness about forecasting an election, almost go sleepless the night before the counting day, and jump in joy when we manage to correctly predict an election outcome, and through a heartbreak when...

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Member of PM's Advisory Council Accused of 'Inventing' Employment Data

-TheWire.in Surjit Bhalla, who draws on CMIE’s database and EPFO data, notes that job creation in 2017 was likely 15 million. New Delhi: The head of the Centre for Monitoring of Indian Economy (CMIE) has accused economist Surjit Bhalla, who is a member of the Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC), of distorting and “dishonestly presenting” its nationwide employment survey to claim that India created 15 million jobs in 2017. The CMIE does...

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