-The Hindu Reaching the target by 2030-31 has to be ruled out, as it requires a nominal annual growth rate of 18.2%; instead, the scenario can be 2033-34, with the required real rate of growth at 9% The Chief Minister of Tamil Nadu has set Tamil Nadu the goal of becoming a trillion dollar economy (by 2030), as he has indicated over the past year. This is a good aspirational goal. Tamil...
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India’s Manufacturing Growth Slowdown a Decadal Problem -Deepanshu Mohan
-TheWire.in In India’s growth trajectory, for over a decade, domestic private investment levels have remained consistently low and so has (domestic) manufacturing growth. As per recent quarterly estimates, India’s growth rate slowed to 6.3% in the September quarter of 2022-23. There is evidence of a notable contraction in output of manufacturing that’s pulling down growth. This author has previously argued that quarterly growth estimates may not reveal the real state of an economy....
More »India to soon suffer heatwaves that break human survivability limit: World Bank report -Sayantani Biswas
-Livemint.com A report shows that lost labor from rising heat and humidity could put up to 4.5% of India's GDP –approximately $150-250 billion – at risk by the end of this decade. A report by World Bank has a ominous warning for India and it only spells doom, as the report has stated that India will soon be one of the first countries that will experience severe heatwaves that will break the...
More »India's fabric -Sumit Roy and Murli Dhar
-The Telegraph Demand for sustainable or organic cotton on the rise, providing an opportunity for the country to excel A few years ago, images of the drying up of the eastern bed of the Aral Sea had shocked millions. It was linked to the widespread growing of unsustainable cotton, backed by the Uzbekistan government, to pocket greater forex earnings and satiate the demands of the global fashion industry. The demand for sustainable...
More »Number Theory: The state of the Indian economy in four charts -Roshan Kishore
-Hindustan Times What do the latest numbers, analyst forecasts, and high-frequency data tell us about the state of Indian economy? The National Statistical Office (NSO) released GDP numbers for the quarter ending September 2022 on November 30. GDP growth for the second quarter is 6.3%, which is exactly what the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the RBI projected in its September resolution. What do the latest numbers, analyst forecasts, and high-frequency data...
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