The Union budget estimates the nominal rate of growth for the Indian economy to be 12.5 per cent during the current fiscal. While it is impossible to figure out the manner in which this number was arrived at, the government has predicted further that the inflation-adjusted real growth rate for the same year will be eight per cent. Simple arithmetic requires that the difference between the nominal and real growth...

India's food price index rose 12.92 per cent in the year to June 19, while the fuel price index climbed 12.90 percent, government data released on Thursday showed. The pace of increase in food prices slowed from the previous week's annual rise of 16.90 percent, while Fuel Price Inflation eased from last week's annual rise of 13.18 per cent. The primary articles index was up at 14.75 per cent. Wholesale price...

The Indian government has opted to scrap its subsidy of petrol prices in an effort to cut its budget deficit. Ministers also voted to raise the price of other fuels, including diesel and kerosene gas in an effort to raise money. India's fiscal deficit is forecast to hit 5.5% of GDP by 2010-11. But the move is likely to be politically unpopular, and there are concerns that higher fuel prices will...

India's food inflation accelerated in mid-June, maintaining pressure on the Reserve Bank of India to tighten monetary policy at a faster pace. India's food price index rose 16.90 per cent in the year to June 12, higher than the previous week's annual reading of 16.12 per cent, government data released on Thursday showed. The fuel price index remained unchanged at 13.18 percent in the year to June 12. The yield...

The Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) and the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) have warned that farm commodity prices, especially foodgrains, may rise by as much as 40 per cent by the end of this decade. This warning must be taken seriously given its implications for food insecurity. FAO’s Agricultural Outlook 2010-2019 projects prices of wheat, coarse grains and dairy products rising by 15 to 40 per cent...