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Realistic analysis shows that the Indian economy has simply taken little steps in Q1 instead of a quantum leap

There is euphoria abound about India's growth performance during the first quarter of the current fiscal. As compared to the corresponding period last year, the year-on-year (y-o-y) GDP growth in the first quarter (Q1) of 2022-23 is down. However, one should take into account the fact that the high growth performance of the real GDP in Q1 of 2021-22 was due to the low base in the corresponding period of...

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What’s wrong with crop estimates that were off-mark last crop year -Subramani Ra Mancombu

-The Hindu Business Line Experts say current manual methods are error-prone, moot scientific process The advance crop estimate made by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers’ Welfare usually differs between the first and subsequent three ones before it comes out with the final estimate. However, the difference has seldom caused problems in the agricultural markets or led to complaints of not reflecting what the trade has felt is the ground reality. But some...

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As Freebie Debate Rages, What Defines 'Revdi'? Nobody Really Knows. -Kaushal Shroff

-TheWire.in There are no watertight categorisations that clearly demarcate where a subsidy ends and a so-called freebie begins. Amaravati: A maelstrom has been brewing in the political landscape over the precise markers of a subsidy and a freebie. Prime Minister Narendra Modi delivered the first blow last month when he pointed out that other political parties were propagating a “revdi culture” which was dangerous to the youth as well as to the...

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Whose GDP is it anyway? -Praveen Chakravarty

-The Hindu It is time for political leaders to clamour for an overhaul of India’s economic performance measurement framework In a few weeks, a quarterly ritual will play out in India. The Government will release the first quarter’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth numbers with some chest-thumping about how India is among the fastest-growing economies in the world. Opposition parties will hold press conferences on the same day to counter such bombast...

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The cost of misrepresenting inflation -Pulapre Balakrishnan and M Parameswaran

-The Hindu The inadequacy of monetary policy to address food-price-driven inflation has been recently flagged Globally, inflation is now the prime concern of governments, even as there is a speculation that a recession may not be far behind. In India, though, government agencies regularly announce that the country is growing at a much faster rate than most economies and presently assert that inflation is much lower. The growth performance is not so...

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