-The Indian Express It is important to evaluate the consequences of the Centre’s agriculture policy. With elections around the corner, it’s too late for a course correction of the farm sector, but it’s an opportune time to document the unintended consequences of half-baked policies for the next five years. Otherwise, the momentum of existing policies will continue to feed rural economic misery. Agriculture GDP Growth plummeted just as India’s agricultural trade surplus,...
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Maitreesh Ghatak, Professor of Economics at London School of Economics, interviewed by Tathagata Bhattacharya (National Herald)
-National Herald Maitreesh Ghatak, Professor of Economics at London School of Economics, in an interview to Tathagata Bhattacharya says the government has failed on many counts At the end of the day, it is growth and employment generation via new investment that is key to long-term economic progress. Various welfare schemes are a way of providing a social safety net to the poor in the short-run. It is performance along these two...
More »Why factory output figures are suspect -R Nagaraj
-The Hindu Business Line The MCA database, which underpins the jump in factory GDP, is unconvincing. The ASI method was set aside for wrong reasons In early 2015, the Central Statistical Office (CSO) introduced a new series of National Accounts Statistics (NAS) with 2011-12 as the base year, replacing the earlier series with the base year 2004-05. It is the CSO's routine job to make such revisions, roughly once in a decade,...
More »2008 global financial crisis: What government overdid, or didn't do -P Vaidyanathan Iyer
-The Indian Express India bounced back from 2008 crisis thanks to stimulus packages, but faltered by letting these continue. And it still has a long way to go in ensuring greater coordination between govt and financial regulators. India did not have a rulebook to refer to a decade ago when it was hit by a seismic shock with its epicentre some 12,500 km away. In the initial days post the Lehman collapse...
More »Why are rural wages crawling when farm GDP Growth is galloping -Gaurav Choudhury
-MoneyControl.com A continued property market slowdown and a vegetable glut may have pushed landless labourers back to villages, seeking daily jobs and depressing wage growth India’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth looks set to cruise along the 7-7.5 percent trail, partly aided by steady farm incomes and record harvests on the back of plentiful summer rains over the last three years. But it may still be early to open the bubbly yet. The...
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