The Economic Survey 2022-23, released today, has flagged threats to the Indian economy, even as it forecasts a GDP growth rate of 6.5% for the next fiscal year. The survey has said that the challenge of the Indian rupee depreciating remains. "However, the challenge of the depreciating rupee, although better performing than most other currencies, persists with the likelihood of further increases in policy rates by the US Fed". What...
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Why India’s Balance of Payments is Headed for Hard Times -Prabhat Patnaik
-Newsclick.in The yawning merchandise Trade Deficit is occurring not because of any economic boom but in the midst of creeping industrial stagnation. India’s current account deficit for the second quarter (July-September) of 2022-23 has reached a massive $36.4 billion, which is 4.4% of the gross domestic product, higher than at any time in the last nine years. It is only in October-December 2012 that the absolute level of the current account deficit...
More »CAD doubles to all-time high of $36.4 billion in Q2, up nearly 4 times on year
-The Hindu Business Line Trade Deficit, primary income outweighed services surplus: ICRA India’s current account deficit (CAD) doubled sequentially to an all-time high of $36.4 billion in Q2 FY23 from $18.2 billion in the previous quarter, and was nearly four times higher than the $9.7 billion posted a year ago. CAD for FY22 was at $38.77 billion. The Q2 CAD was equivalent to 4.4 per cent of the country’s GDP as against 2.2...
More »Exports rise marginally at 0.6% in November, Trade Deficit hits 7-month low
-Moneycontrol.com Exports in April-November amounted to $295.26 billion, up 11.1 percent, while imports were 29.5 percent higher at $493.61 billion India's merchandise exports posted a marginal increase in November on a year-on-year basis to $31.99 billion, data released by the commerce ministry on December 15 showed. The rise in exports in November was a mere 0.6 percent. The latest trade numbers come after data released last month showed exports contracted 17 percent in October...
More »Why are India’s slowing exports a cause for concern? -K Bharat Kumar
-The Hindu How are other export-dominated countries faring? Why is the government optimistic that domestic demand will counter the effects of declining exports? The story so far: India’s exports declined about 16.7% in October compared with the year-earlier period. This is the first slide reported for any month since February 2021. October imports rose at a much milder pace than earlier, most likely because of softening commodity prices worldwide, and Trade Deficit...
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