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India will soon become third largest economy. Does it matter?

Subhash Chandra Garg, Deccan Herald Given the depreciating USD, India’s $5tn GDP goal of 2019-20 equals $5.74tn in 2022-23, and at further 3 per cent depreciation, it would need to be $6.65tn in 2027-28.  The Government of India announced in 2019-20 the goal of a $5 trillion GDP by 2024-25. India’s GDP was $2.84 trillion that year, needing a $2.16 trillion gap to cover in five years. India’s GDP reached $3.39 trillion...

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Economic Survey 2022-23 Highlights inflation risks and Rupee depreciation pressure on Indian Economy

The Economic Survey 2022-23, released today, has flagged threats to the Indian economy, even as it forecasts a GDP growth rate of 6.5% for the next fiscal year. The survey has said that the challenge of the Indian rupee depreciating remains. "However, the challenge of the depreciating rupee, although better performing than most other currencies, persists with the likelihood of further increases in policy rates by the US Fed". What...

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Global economy to feel the heat of monetary policy tightening: RBI Bulletin -Manish M Suvarna

-Moneycontrol.com Globally, central banks have been increasing interest rates to fight inflation. The global economy will bear the brunt of past monetary policy actions in 2023, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) monthly bulletin said on December 20. "Emerging market economies (EMEs) appear even more vulnerable, having battled currency depreciations and capital outflows in addition to slowing growth and high inflation," Bulletin said. Globally, central banks have been increasing interest rates to fight inflation. RBI...

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Vicious cycle -Prabhat Patnaik

-The Telegraph A system without any steering control An essential characteristic of modern capitalism is that the living conditions of millions of people are determined by the whims and caprices of a handful of financial speculators; indeed, that is what ‘leaving things to the market’ really entails. Consider what is happening in India today. There is a massive outflow of finance from the country because of which the rupee is depreciating  vis-à-vis...

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Energy prices to fall 11% in 2023 as economies slow down: World Bank study -Raghav Aggarwal

-Business Standard Currency depreciation in developing countries could deepen food and energy inflation: Commodity Markets Outlook report Global energy prices will ease in the next couple of years but "remain considerably" higher than the historic average, said a report on Wednesday. In many economies, prices in domestic-currency terms remain elevated because of depreciation and this could deepen food and energy crises. "As the global growth slowdown intensifies, commodity prices are expected to ease in...

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