Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 150
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 151
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Warning (512): Unable to emit headers. Headers sent in file=/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php line=853 [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 48]
Warning (2): Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at /home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php:853) [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 148]
Warning (2): Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at /home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php:853) [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 181]
Interviews | Bhramar Mukherjee, professor of biostatistics at the University of Michigan, interviewed by GS Mudur (The Telegraph)
Bhramar Mukherjee, professor of biostatistics at the University of Michigan, interviewed by GS Mudur (The Telegraph)

Bhramar Mukherjee, professor of biostatistics at the University of Michigan, interviewed by GS Mudur (The Telegraph)

Share this article Share this article
published Published on Jan 7, 2022   modified Modified on Jan 7, 2022

-The Telegraph

The country has an advantage that many people have two vaccines plus a past infection: Expert

Bhramar Mukherjee, a professor of biostatistics at the University of Michigan who has been tracking India’s Covid-19 epidemic for nearly two years, is now visiting her parents’ farmhouse in Ruppur near Santiniketan in Birbhum.

“This is our escape and solace in the epidemic,” she said. In this interview, Mukherjee tells The Telegraph what she expects during the omicron-driven wave, how data gaps have compromised India’s capacity to respond to Covid-19 and that the country is already in a “sandstorm”.

Q: What are your expectations from the omicron-driven wave in India?

Mukherjee: Our models predict a very high number of infections in India…. This is assuming 50 per cent people with at least one vaccine or a past infection can get re-infected by omicron. But fatalities are expected to be 30 to 50 per cent of the second wave if we use severity estimates from South Africa.

India has an advantage that many people have two vaccines plus a past infection. Our estimate is nearly 40 per cent. This implies that even without boosters, this subgroup may do well in terms of disease outcome if they get reinfected. The vaccines should keep them out of hospitals. But these expectations are based on several assumptions, which may or may not hold up in India.

But severity and mortality estimates for India are difficult to extrapolate because we don’t have accurate hospitalisation data or even mortality data. As we see in the US, excess mortality is induced by not just the virulence of omicron or delta but the chaotic collapse of health care and essential services.

With different levels of immunity backdrop across geography and populations, each country is somewhat different but case counts are all that we have right now for India at a national level.

Please click here to read more.

Image Courtesy: The Telegraph


The Telegraph, 7 January, 2022, https://www.telegraphindia.com/india/india-is-in-a-covid-sandstorm-expert/cid/1846564


Related Articles

 

Write Comments

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

*

Video Archives

Archives

share on Facebook
Twitter
RSS
Feedback
Read Later

Contact Form

Please enter security code
      Close