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Interviews | Pronab Sen, Programme Director for the IGC India Programme and first Chief Statistician of India, interviewed by Vikas Dhoot (The Hindu)
Pronab Sen, Programme Director for the IGC India Programme and first Chief Statistician of India, interviewed by Vikas Dhoot (The Hindu)

Pronab Sen, Programme Director for the IGC India Programme and first Chief Statistician of India, interviewed by Vikas Dhoot (The Hindu)

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published Published on Nov 12, 2021   modified Modified on Nov 12, 2021

-The Hindu

The ill-prepared move left India with all the damages and very few of the benefits

On November 8, 2016, Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced that from midnight, 500 and 1,000 notes would no longer be considered legal tender in India. The government’s stated aim was to curb corruption and the pervasion of black money in the economy, as well as the proliferation of fake currency which was also being used in terror funding. Pronab Sen discusses with Vikas Dhoot the after-effects of the demonetisation gambit and whether the intended outcomes have been achieved. Edited excerpts:

* What has been the assessment of the extent of black money in the Indian economy?

PS: Black money and the black economy are not the same. Black money is transitory and there’s not a whole lot of it. The black economy, particularly black assets, is large. Various studies to quantify it have yielded a wide range of estimates (20%-60% of GDP). Black money, or cash which has not been shown, is a very small component of this larger black economy because nobody who has made black income hangs on to that cash for long. They invest it in some asset. So, most of the black economy is in the form of assets. And when you look at any asset, there is always some person or entity holding it. Whether that name is benami or not is impossible for a researcher to find out and the statistical system to capture.

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Image Courtesy: IGC


The Hindu, 12 November, 2021, https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/is-the-economy-still-reeling-from-demonetisation/article37445099.ece?homepage=true


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