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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Covid deaths: ‘Misleading’ tag on reply to World Health Organisation -GS Mudur

Covid deaths: ‘Misleading’ tag on reply to World Health Organisation -GS Mudur

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published Published on May 17, 2022   modified Modified on May 17, 2022

-The Telegraph 

Jon Wakefield picks holes in Narendra Modi government’s twin claims

Jon Wakefield was disappointed.

India’s health ministry had issued a statement decrying the methodology adopted by the World Health Organisation to estimate excess deaths worldwide during the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021. The exercise indicated 4.7 million excess deaths in India, 9.8 times the country’s official Covid-19 death toll.

The ministry statement itself didn’t surprise Wakefield. Five times since July 2021, the Narendra Modi government had described studies that yielded excess death estimates for India from 3.2 million to 4.9 million as “audacious”, “speculative”, “fallacious” or “incorrect”.

Those earlier statements had mainly flagged the generic limitations of scientific efforts in extrapolating death estimates. But two paragraphs in the ministry’s latest May 5 statement puzzled Wakefield, a professor of biostatistics at the University of Washington and lead author of the WHO study.

The ministry, citing reasons for India’s objections, had said the WHO methodology had assumed an inverse relationship between temperature and mortality — the higher the outside temperature, the lower the deaths — which, the ministry said, “was never substantiated by WHO despite India’s repeated requests”.

The statement also said that the methodology had not taken into account the Covid-19 test positivity rate — the proportion of people found positive among those tested, a measure of the size of the epidemic — which, the ministry said, had varied throughout the pandemic.

“We did not use temperature to estimate mortality for India and the test positivity rate too was irrelevant for India’s estimate — and the government knows this,” said Wakefield, who’s also a member of the WHO’s technical advisory group (TAG), an international expert panel guiding the mortality assessment exercise.

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The Telegraph, 17 May, 2022, https://www.telegraphindia.com/india/misleading-tag-on-reply-to-world-health-organisation/cid/1865448 


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