Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 150
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::index() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 150
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Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120
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Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Deprecated (16384): The ArrayAccess methods will be removed in 4.0.0.Use getParam(), getData() and getQuery() instead. - /home/brlfuser/public_html/src/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line: 151
 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php. [CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311]
Code Context


        trigger_error($message, E_USER_DEPRECATED);

    }
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 You can disable deprecation warnings by setting `Error.errorLevel` to `E_ALL & ~E_USER_DEPRECATED` in your config/app.php.'
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deprecationWarning - CORE/src/Core/functions.php, line 311
Cake\Http\ServerRequest::offsetGet() - CORE/src/Http/ServerRequest.php, line 2421
App\Controller\ArtileDetailController::index() - APP/Controller/ArtileDetailController.php, line 151
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 610
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 120
Cake\Http\ActionDispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/src/Http/ActionDispatcher.php, line 94
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 235
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 162
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Routing\Middleware\AssetMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/AssetMiddleware.php, line 97
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Error\Middleware\ErrorHandlerMiddleware::__invoke() - CORE/src/Error/Middleware/ErrorHandlerMiddleware.php, line 96
Cake\Http\Runner::__invoke() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 65
Cake\Http\Runner::run() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 51
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 98

Warning (512): Unable to emit headers. Headers sent in file=/home/brlfuser/public_html/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Error/Debugger.php line=853 [CORE/src/Http/ResponseEmitter.php, line 48]
Code Context
            if (Configure::read('debug')) {

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        LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Making Sense of Madhya Pradesh’s Shocking Deaths Increase in April and May -Murad Banaji    </title>
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During April and May, 2021, Madhya Pradesh saw an astonishing rise in mortality. According to death registration data reported by Rukmini S., during these two months the state saw 1.7 lakh &ldquo;excess&rdquo; deaths over and above what would..."/>
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During April and May, 2021, Madhya Pradesh saw an astonishing rise in mortality. According to death registration data reported by Rukmini S., during these two months the state saw 1.7 lakh &ldquo;excess&rdquo; deaths over and above what would..." />
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    <h1 class="cat-box-title">Making Sense of Madhya Pradesh’s Shocking Deaths Increase in April and May -Murad Banaji</h1>
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		 Published on</span><span class="text-date"> Jun 14, 2021</span>
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                            <p style="text-align:justify">-The Wire Science</p><p style="text-align:justify">During April and May, 2021, Madhya Pradesh saw an astonishing rise in mortality. According to death registration data reported by Rukmini S., during these two months the state saw 1.7 lakh &ldquo;excess&rdquo; deaths over and above what would be expected from previous years&rsquo; data. In May alone the number of registered deaths was around five times the numbers seen in 2018 and 2019.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Shocking as they are, these figures may underestimate the true scale of this surge. According to the latest available data only around 80% of deaths in Madhya Pradesh are registered. Total excess mortality during these two months may even have been higher.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Taking the figures at face value, let&rsquo;s try to get a sense of what they mean. In a population of around 85 million, 1.7 lakh excess deaths amounts to around 0.2% excess mortality (2 excess deaths per 1,000 people). A panchayat with a population of 5,000 would typically have seen around 10 extra deaths during the two month period.</p><p style="text-align:justify">In contrast with the figure of 1.7 lakhs, there have been fewer than 5,000 reported COVID-19 deaths from Madhya Pradesh during 2021 so far. Excess mortality is thus over 35 times recorded COVID mortality. We don&rsquo;t know whether all of the excess deaths were due to the novel coronavirus. But we can say with confidence that the state is failing to record almost all of its COVID-19 deaths.</p><p style="text-align:justify"><em>Fatality rates</em></p><p style="text-align:justify">If we assume that a large part of the excess mortality was, indeed, from COVID-19, then what does this say about the fatality rate of the disease?</p><p style="text-align:justify">The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 is the fraction of people infected with SARS-CoV-2 who perish. IFR is not, in general, constant across different regions, or in time. We know that IFR will be influenced by the variants of SARS-CoV-2 circulating. But it will also depend on the environment in which the virus circulates, most importantly the age structure of the population, and the availability of medical care.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://science.thewire.in/health/making-sense-of-madhya-pradeshs-shocking-deaths-increase-in-april-and-may/?fbclid=IwAR2uf7weogbtohxSdJY7KRlxM2rQ-LujIV5k1pocPrMC-xU1oE12gnu6lII" title="https://science.thewire.in/health/making-sense-of-madhya-pradeshs-shocking-deaths-increase-in-april-and-may/?fbclid=IwAR2uf7weogbtohxSdJY7KRlxM2rQ-LujIV5k1pocPrMC-xU1oE12gnu6lII">click here</a> to read more.</p>                                                           
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    <br><a href="https://science.thewire.in/health/making-sense-of-madhya-pradeshs-shocking-deaths-increase-in-april-and-may/?fbclid=IwAR2uf7weogbtohxSdJY7KRlxM2rQ-LujIV5k1pocPrMC-xU1oE12gnu6lII" class="re" target="_blank">The Wire Science, 14 June, 2021, https://science.thewire.in/health/making-sense-of-madhya-pradeshs-shocking-deaths-increase-in-april-and-may/?fbclid=IwAR2uf7weogbtohxSdJY7KRlxM2rQ-LujIV5k1pocPrMC-xU1oE12gnu6lII</a><div class="clear"></div>
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During April and May, 2021, Madhya Pradesh saw an astonishing rise in mortality. According to death registration data reported by Rukmini S., during these two months the state saw 1.7 lakh &ldquo;excess&rdquo; deaths over and above what would..."/>
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    <h1 class="cat-box-title">Making Sense of Madhya Pradesh’s Shocking Deaths Increase in April and May -Murad Banaji</h1>
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                            <p style="text-align:justify">-The Wire Science</p><p style="text-align:justify">During April and May, 2021, Madhya Pradesh saw an astonishing rise in mortality. According to death registration data reported by Rukmini S., during these two months the state saw 1.7 lakh &ldquo;excess&rdquo; deaths over and above what would be expected from previous years&rsquo; data. In May alone the number of registered deaths was around five times the numbers seen in 2018 and 2019.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Shocking as they are, these figures may underestimate the true scale of this surge. According to the latest available data only around 80% of deaths in Madhya Pradesh are registered. Total excess mortality during these two months may even have been higher.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Taking the figures at face value, let&rsquo;s try to get a sense of what they mean. In a population of around 85 million, 1.7 lakh excess deaths amounts to around 0.2% excess mortality (2 excess deaths per 1,000 people). A panchayat with a population of 5,000 would typically have seen around 10 extra deaths during the two month period.</p><p style="text-align:justify">In contrast with the figure of 1.7 lakhs, there have been fewer than 5,000 reported COVID-19 deaths from Madhya Pradesh during 2021 so far. Excess mortality is thus over 35 times recorded COVID mortality. We don&rsquo;t know whether all of the excess deaths were due to the novel coronavirus. But we can say with confidence that the state is failing to record almost all of its COVID-19 deaths.</p><p style="text-align:justify"><em>Fatality rates</em></p><p style="text-align:justify">If we assume that a large part of the excess mortality was, indeed, from COVID-19, then what does this say about the fatality rate of the disease?</p><p style="text-align:justify">The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 is the fraction of people infected with SARS-CoV-2 who perish. IFR is not, in general, constant across different regions, or in time. We know that IFR will be influenced by the variants of SARS-CoV-2 circulating. But it will also depend on the environment in which the virus circulates, most importantly the age structure of the population, and the availability of medical care.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://science.thewire.in/health/making-sense-of-madhya-pradeshs-shocking-deaths-increase-in-april-and-may/?fbclid=IwAR2uf7weogbtohxSdJY7KRlxM2rQ-LujIV5k1pocPrMC-xU1oE12gnu6lII" title="https://science.thewire.in/health/making-sense-of-madhya-pradeshs-shocking-deaths-increase-in-april-and-may/?fbclid=IwAR2uf7weogbtohxSdJY7KRlxM2rQ-LujIV5k1pocPrMC-xU1oE12gnu6lII">click here</a> to read more.</p>                                                           
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    <br><a href="https://science.thewire.in/health/making-sense-of-madhya-pradeshs-shocking-deaths-increase-in-april-and-may/?fbclid=IwAR2uf7weogbtohxSdJY7KRlxM2rQ-LujIV5k1pocPrMC-xU1oE12gnu6lII" class="re" target="_blank">The Wire Science, 14 June, 2021, https://science.thewire.in/health/making-sense-of-madhya-pradeshs-shocking-deaths-increase-in-april-and-may/?fbclid=IwAR2uf7weogbtohxSdJY7KRlxM2rQ-LujIV5k1pocPrMC-xU1oE12gnu6lII</a><div class="clear"></div>
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        LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Making Sense of Madhya Pradesh’s Shocking Deaths Increase in April and May -Murad Banaji    </title>
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During April and May, 2021, Madhya Pradesh saw an astonishing rise in mortality. According to death registration data reported by Rukmini S., during these two months the state saw 1.7 lakh &ldquo;excess&rdquo; deaths over and above what would..."/>
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    <meta property="og:title" content="LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Making Sense of Madhya Pradesh’s Shocking Deaths Increase in April and May -Murad Banaji" />
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     <meta property="og:description" content="-The Wire Science

During April and May, 2021, Madhya Pradesh saw an astonishing rise in mortality. According to death registration data reported by Rukmini S., during these two months the state saw 1.7 lakh &ldquo;excess&rdquo; deaths over and above what would..." />
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                            <p style="text-align:justify">-The Wire Science</p><p style="text-align:justify">During April and May, 2021, Madhya Pradesh saw an astonishing rise in mortality. According to death registration data reported by Rukmini S., during these two months the state saw 1.7 lakh &ldquo;excess&rdquo; deaths over and above what would be expected from previous years&rsquo; data. In May alone the number of registered deaths was around five times the numbers seen in 2018 and 2019.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Shocking as they are, these figures may underestimate the true scale of this surge. According to the latest available data only around 80% of deaths in Madhya Pradesh are registered. Total excess mortality during these two months may even have been higher.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Taking the figures at face value, let&rsquo;s try to get a sense of what they mean. In a population of around 85 million, 1.7 lakh excess deaths amounts to around 0.2% excess mortality (2 excess deaths per 1,000 people). A panchayat with a population of 5,000 would typically have seen around 10 extra deaths during the two month period.</p><p style="text-align:justify">In contrast with the figure of 1.7 lakhs, there have been fewer than 5,000 reported COVID-19 deaths from Madhya Pradesh during 2021 so far. Excess mortality is thus over 35 times recorded COVID mortality. We don&rsquo;t know whether all of the excess deaths were due to the novel coronavirus. But we can say with confidence that the state is failing to record almost all of its COVID-19 deaths.</p><p style="text-align:justify"><em>Fatality rates</em></p><p style="text-align:justify">If we assume that a large part of the excess mortality was, indeed, from COVID-19, then what does this say about the fatality rate of the disease?</p><p style="text-align:justify">The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 is the fraction of people infected with SARS-CoV-2 who perish. IFR is not, in general, constant across different regions, or in time. We know that IFR will be influenced by the variants of SARS-CoV-2 circulating. But it will also depend on the environment in which the virus circulates, most importantly the age structure of the population, and the availability of medical care.</p><p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://science.thewire.in/health/making-sense-of-madhya-pradeshs-shocking-deaths-increase-in-april-and-may/?fbclid=IwAR2uf7weogbtohxSdJY7KRlxM2rQ-LujIV5k1pocPrMC-xU1oE12gnu6lII" title="https://science.thewire.in/health/making-sense-of-madhya-pradeshs-shocking-deaths-increase-in-april-and-may/?fbclid=IwAR2uf7weogbtohxSdJY7KRlxM2rQ-LujIV5k1pocPrMC-xU1oE12gnu6lII">click here</a> to read more.</p>                                                           
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Making Sense of Madhya Pradesh’s Shocking Deaths Increase in April and May -Murad Banaji

Published on Jun 14, 2021   Modified on Jun 17, 2021

-The Wire Science During April and May, 2021, Madhya Pradesh saw an astonishing rise in mortality. According to death registration data reported by Rukmini S., during these two months the state saw 1.7 lakh “excess” deaths over and above what would be expected from previous years’ data. In May alone the number of registered deaths was around five times the numbers seen in 2018 and 2019. Shocking as they are, these figures may underestimate the true scale of this surge. According to the latest available data only around 80% of deaths in Madhya Pradesh are registered. Total excess mortality during these two months may even have been higher. Taking the figures at face value, let’s try to get a sense of what they mean. In a population of around 85 million, 1.7 lakh excess deaths amounts to around 0.2% excess mortality (2 excess deaths per 1,000 people). A panchayat with a population of 5,000 would typically have seen around 10 extra deaths during the two month period. In contrast with the figure of 1.7 lakhs, there have been fewer than 5,000 reported COVID-19 deaths from Madhya Pradesh during 2021 so far. Excess mortality is thus over 35 times recorded COVID mortality. We don’t know whether all of the excess deaths were due to the novel coronavirus. But we can say with confidence that the state is failing to record almost all of its COVID-19 deaths. Fatality rates If we assume that a large part of the excess mortality was, indeed, from COVID-19, then what does this say about the fatality rate of the disease? The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 is the fraction of people infected with SARS-CoV-2 who perish. IFR is not, in general, constant across different regions, or in time. We know that IFR will be influenced by the variants of SARS-CoV-2 circulating. But it will also depend on the environment in which the virus circulates, most importantly the age structure of the population, and the availability of medical care. Please click here to read more.

The Wire Science, 14 June, 2021, https://science.thewire.in/health/making-sense-of-madhya-pradeshs-shocking-deaths-increase-in-april-and-may/?fbclid=IwAR2uf7weogbtohxSdJY7KRlxM2rQ-LujIV5k1pocPrMC-xU1oE12gnu6lII

Tagged with: Excess deaths Excess mortality Covid-19 deaths Infection Fatality Rate IFR

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