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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Three questions which capture India’s medium-term economic challenge -Roshan Kishore and Vineet Sachdev

Three questions which capture India’s medium-term economic challenge -Roshan Kishore and Vineet Sachdev

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published Published on Feb 3, 2022   modified Modified on Feb 3, 2022

-Hindustan Times

By prioritizing long-term growth via a capital spending push, the budget has underplayed the need for urgent steps to boost short-term consumption demand.

Immediate analyses of the Union Budget are always focused on the headline numbers which the document contains. While these numbers are important , it is essential to take a big picture view of the economy to examine the validity of the budget’s larger premise. Such an exercise is best conducted by putting statistics within and outside the budget in a larger context. Here are three questions which try to do this.

How serious is India’s consumption demand challenge?

By prioritizing long-term growth via a capital spending push, the budget has underplayed the need for urgent steps to boost short-term consumption demand.

An important statistic which was released a day before the Budget was presented, and therefore did not get as much attention as it should have, was a further downgrading of India’s GDP growth in 2019-20 from 4% to 3.7%. This underlines the importance of realising that just achieving pre-pandemic levels is going to be of little help for the economy. How did India’s pre-pandemic slowdown affect private demand? The answer to this question is important because there was hardly any official acknowledgement of a demand-side problem in the economy before the pandemic struck.

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Hindustan Times, 3 February, 2022, https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/three-questions-which-capture-india-s-medium-term-economic-challenge-101643826124981.html


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