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<p style="text-align:justify"><em>With a more accurate way of measuring GDP growth, the pace of recovery is much slower in real terms</em></p>
<p style="text-align:justify">Imagine driving a car whose speedometer cannot tell the current speed but only relative to what it was four hours ago. Apart from the comical encounters with police when stopped for speeding and the predicament in defining a “speed limit”, there is a more fundamental problem it would create. The driver will not know whether the car is accelerating or decelerating and, therefore, whether to press the accelerator or the brake. This is a central weakness of India’s GDP statistics, exemplified by last week’s 4Q20 print.</p>
<p style="text-align:justify">The CSO press release stated that India grew 0.4 per cent on a year-ago basis, that is, relative to the level of GDP four quarters before. Many heaved a sigh of relief at growth turning positive after two quarters of negative year-ago prints (-24.4 per cent in 2Q20 and -7.3 per cent in 3Q20) and declared that growth would accelerate from hereon as mobility increased and the fiscal policy support started to bite.</p>
<p style="text-align:justify"><strong>---</strong></p>
<p style="text-align:justify"><iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="360" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/Hoj4RybVHHg" title="YouTube video player" width="640"></iframe></p>
<p style="text-align:justify"><strong>---</strong></p>
<p style="text-align:justify">Nothing could be further from the truth. To know whether the economy will accelerate or decelerate, one needs to know its current speed. Not what it is relative to a year ago. To do that, one needs to compute the quarter-on-quarter growth as almost all large economies do. These computations are not easy, because each quarter has its own characteristics or, as economists call it, “seasonality”, which naturally increases or decreases activity in that period. Think of quarters with festivals or with harvests versus those without them. The modern economy is more complicated as its seasonal patterns change when its structure does. To compare apples with apples, these changes to seasonality need to be excluded from the data.</p>
<p style="text-align:justify">Please <a href="https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/indian-economy-gdp-cso-7218589/">click here</a> to read more. </p>
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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Recovery? Different numbers tell different stories -Jahangir Aziz </title>
<meta name="description" content="-The Indian Express
With a more accurate way of measuring GDP growth, the pace of recovery is much slower in real terms
Imagine driving a car whose speedometer cannot tell the current speed but only relative to what it was four hours..."/>
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With a more accurate way of measuring GDP growth, the pace of recovery is much slower in real terms
Imagine driving a car whose speedometer cannot tell the current speed but only relative to what it was four hours..." />
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<br><small>March 8, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-CaravanMagazine.in
In 2005, Maharashtra’s Palghar district became the face of chronic child malnutrition in India as reports emerged of the death of 718 children due to malnutrition. Palghar, a predominantly tribal region, with a 37 percent Adivasi population, is only 114 kilometres away from Mumbai, the...</p>
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<br><small>March 8, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Hindustan Times
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Haryana government’s new law to reserve 75% of private sector jobs in the...</p>
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<br><small>March 8, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Down to Earth
A 10 μg/m3 rise in ambient PM 2.5 exposure caused a 0.07 g/dL decrease in average haemoglobin count
Exposure to higher levels of particulate matter 2.5 in ambient air can result in anaemia in children under five years, according to a study by Indian...</p>
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<br><small>March 8, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-CaravanMagazine.in
In 2005, Maharashtra’s Palghar district became the face of chronic child malnutrition in India as reports emerged of the death of 718 children due to malnutrition. Palghar, a predominantly tribal region, with a 37 percent Adivasi population, is only 114 kilometres away from Mumbai, the...</p>
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<br><small>March 8, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Hindustan Times
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Haryana government’s new law to reserve 75% of private sector jobs in the...</p>
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<br><small>March 8, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Down to Earth
A 10 μg/m3 rise in ambient PM 2.5 exposure caused a 0.07 g/dL decrease in average haemoglobin count
Exposure to higher levels of particulate matter 2.5 in ambient air can result in anaemia in children under five years, according to a study by Indian...</p>
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<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-CaravanMagazine.in
In 2005, Maharashtra’s Palghar district became the face of chronic child malnutrition in India as reports emerged of the death of 718 children due to malnutrition. Palghar, a predominantly tribal region, with a 37 percent Adivasi population, is only 114 kilometres away from Mumbai, the...</p>
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<br><small>March 8, 2021</small>
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<br><small>March 8, 2021</small>
<p style="padding-top: 6px;">-Down to Earth
A 10 μg/m3 rise in ambient PM 2.5 exposure caused a 0.07 g/dL decrease in average haemoglobin count
Exposure to higher levels of particulate matter 2.5 in ambient air can result in anaemia in children under five years, according to a study by Indian...</p>
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LATEST NEWS UPDATES | Recovery? Different numbers tell different stories -Jahangir Aziz
-The Indian Express
With a more accurate way of measuring GDP growth, the pace of recovery is much slower in real terms
Imagine driving a car whose speedometer cannot tell the current speed but only relative to what it was four hours ago. Apart from the comical...
-CaravanMagazine.in
In 2005, Maharashtra’s Palghar district became the face of chronic child malnutrition in India as reports emerged of the death of 718 children due to malnutrition. Palghar, a predominantly tribal region, with a 37 percent Adivasi population, is only 114 kilometres away from Mumbai, the...
-TheWeek.in
Women journalists lament they do not get adequate support when under attack
Neha Dixit, an independent, award-winning journalist, was alone when she heard someone try to enter her first-floor home in Delhi on January 25, 2021. She assumed that it was her filmmaker husband at the...
-Hindustan Times
Under the Haryana State Employment of Local Candidates Act, 2021 , every employer is required to employ 75% “local candidates” for posts where the gross monthly salary is not more than ₹50,000
Haryana government’s new law to reserve 75% of private sector jobs in the...
-Down to Earth
A 10 μg/m3 rise in ambient PM 2.5 exposure caused a 0.07 g/dL decrease in average haemoglobin count
Exposure to higher levels of particulate matter 2.5 in ambient air can result in anaemia in children under five years, according to a study by Indian...
