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Former CEA Arvind Subramanian says GDP growth inflated, govt disagrees -Abhishek Waghmare & Arup Roychoudhury

-Business Standard This has reignited the debate on the accuracy of India's GDP numbers in particular, and has once again highlighted the inefficiencies in the estimation of national accounts in general In a research paper that analyses data on 17 different economic indicators in the real sector, former chief economic advisor of India Arvind Subramanian has said that India’s real gross domestic product (GDP) growth “was more likely to have been between...

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Upward GDP revisions for note ban, GST years surprising, says ex-CEA -Asit Ranjan Mishra

-Livemint.com * GDP estimates are based on accepted methodologies, says government * Subramanian made the claims in his latest working paper published on the Harvard University website New Delhi: India’s statistics ministry likely underestimated the impact of demonetization and the rollout of the goods and services tax (GST) on economic activity, leading to an overestimation of gross domestic product (GDP) figures, the finance ministry’s former chief economic adviser, Arvind Subramanian, has said. On 31...

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India's GDP growth: New evidence for fresh beginnings -Arvind Subramanian

-The Indian Express Methodological changes have led to overestimating GDP growth by 2.5 percentage points per year between 2011-12 and 2016-17. Actual growth is around 4.5 per cent. The promise of democracy is the periodic opportunity it creates for fresh beginnings. A government re-elected with such a resounding mandate should continue with the successful aspects of its economic policies. The most notable has been promoting economic inclusion via the public provision of...

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India lost over Rs.90,000 crore to trade misinvoicing, says GFI report

-Livemint.com * Of the total estimated revenue losses, approximately $4 billion was due to export misinvoicing and approximately $9 billion due to import misinvoicing * Almost two-thirds of Indian imports that appear to be most at risk for some degree of potential revenues losses are imports from China New Delhi: India lost a staggering $13 billion, over Rs.90,000 crore, to trade misinvoicing, equivalent to 5.5% of the value of the country's total revenue...

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Pronab Sen, former chief statistician of India, interviewed by Kabir Agarwal and Anuj Srivas (TheWire.in)

-TheWire.in "I think the fact that the whole [NSSO] exercise began with a fundamental premise of keeping it comparable, that has been forgotten." The fierce debate over India’s unemployment figures came to a head last week, when a jobs data report by the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) was finally made public. This report has been a source of contention ever since two members of the National Statistical Commission (NSC)  resigned allegedly...

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