-Business Standard WPI inflation for April is at 3.9%, which is 144 (bps) lower than the March inflation rate The Ministry of Commerce and Industry unveiled the revised wholesale price index (WPI) on May 12, 2017 as per the 2011-12 base year. As per this release, WPI inflation for April is at 3.9%, which is 144 basis points (bps) lower than the March inflation rate. The decline is mainly due to a...
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Politically opportune data -Jayati Ghosh
-The Indian Express GDP estimates are advance figures, but by the time they are revised only staid economists will be interested in them Unless we simply dreamt it, demonetisation delivered a massive shock to the economy in early November, which continued well into December because of slow pace remonetisation. The ensuing liquidity crunch affected most informal economic activity and some formal business, and economists generally agreed that declines in demand and disruption...
More »Consumption mystery could be traced to piling up of inventories -Aanchal Magazine
-The Indian Express As per the methodology, since no direct data of expenditure is used, most of the GDP data is calculated based on output data The answer to the puzzling rise in Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE) in the second advance estimate of GDP for 2016-17 despite the evident cash squeeze due to demonetisation may very well lie in the methodology used for calculating the new series of GDP. As per...
More »Harvardian estimates not wrong; cash ban cut Rs 1.2 lakh crore from nominal GDP -Dhananjay Sinha
-The Economic Times The enigma around the GDP growth numbers has compounded, as it understated the impact of demonetisation. Eliminating the dissonance created by large revisions, nominal GDP growth in December quarter may have been impacted by 240 bp and 320 bp on a year-on-year and sequential basis, respectively. The 7 per cent real GDP growth print for Q3FY17 released by the CSO on Tuesday gives an impression that the demonetisation shock...
More »Demonetisation sucked in cash like vacuum cleaner: IMF
-PTI “Repercussions from the currency exchange initiative will likely persist through the first quarter of 2017.” Washington: India’s demonetisation led to huge cash shortages that have “adversely affected” consumption and like a “vacuum cleaner” it sucked in cash and then was slowly replacing the currency, a senior IMF official has said. “You’ve heard about so-called ‘helicopter drops’ of money with unconventional monetary policies, so one way to characterise this demonetisation initiative is as...
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