Contrary to the rising economic distress on the ground since the last few years, the official press release related to the fourth Annual Report on the Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS) at first glance seems to give a rosy picture about the employment situation in India. Defined as the percentage of persons unemployed among the persons in the labour force, the unemployment rate in usual status (principal activity status + subsidiary economic activity status)...
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No, economic recovery has not brought about a drop in MGNREGA job demand: Experts -Himanshu Nitnaware
-Down to Earth Delayed wages due to a lack of funds has eroded the confidence of job seekers in MGNREGA; This has driven down demand for work under the scheme this season Delayed wages due to a lack of funds has eroded the confidence of job seekers in the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA). This has driven down demand for work under the scheme this season, experts have told...
More »The global threat to our food security -Himanshu
-Livemint.com We must raise procurement to prepare for a possible rise in inflation as global food supplies shrink Recent data on inflation suggests a softening of the trend of rising inflation in retail prices. Much of the inflation this year has been driven by rising food prices, particularly edible oil and more recently cereals, primarily wheat. This has followed the global trend in food prices, which softened last month, even though they...
More »Cereal inflation would be hard to tame amidst low rice acreage
Is India going to face inflation in cereal prices during the rest of the current financial year? Experts differ on this. An analysis by Nomura Global Economics and CEIC finds that a below normal monsoon does not always translate into high retail inflation in food. Similarly, an above normal southwest monsoon does not always bring down the rate of food inflation. However, some agricultural experts (please click here, here and...
More »A recipe to deepen the distress in rural economy -Himanshu
-Livemint.com Rural economy has to deal with declining incomes and rising cost of essentials The general consensus on the state of the Indian economy can be summarized as follows: The economy has been in a deep crisis even before the pandemic-led disruptions. Second, the crisis is not a result of supply constraints but is a result of demand deficiency, particularly in the rural economy. Recent evidence suggests that the impact of the slowdown...
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