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Free grains, fuel tax deferred – Gujarat, HP on its mind, Modi govt puts politics over economy -Sharad Raghavan

-ThePrint.in RBI's rate hike also among decisions announced last week that might pay political dividends in state polls, but could come with commensurate economic costs, say economists. New Delhi: Is the Modi government prioritising political gain over much-needed economic prudence with an eye on crucial assembly elections coming up in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh this year and more lined up the next? The answer seems to be yes, going by several critical decisions...

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Three charts which explain the state of the Indian economy -Roshan Kishore

-Hindustan Times Are the June 2022 GDP numbers good or bad? What do they mean for economic growth over the rest of the fiscal year? What is the current state of economic momentum in the Indian economy? What about the nature of economic recovery? The Indian economy grew at 13.5% on a year-on-year basis in the quarter ending June 2022. While the headline number looks good, and is the fastest rate since...

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Macrovariable projections in uncertain times -Arun Kumar

-The Hindu International factors and faulty data will impact India’s projections of GDP, inflation and balance of payments The Fed has raised its benchmark interest rate again by a whopping 0.75%. The Reserve Bank of India has also been forced to raise interest rates further but also take other steps. These decisions in the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting are based on what the members of the MPC see as the likely...

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Is crude, edible oil inflation relief on the cards for India? -Roshan Kishore

-Hindustan Times The fuel and energy basket sub-component has a share of 6.84% in the CPI basket. For oil and fats (edible oil) sub-category, this share is 3.56%. A simple calculation using the weighted share of these two sub-components shows that they have been a key driver of headline inflation in the past few months. India’s benchmark inflation rate, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has been above the 6%...

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Consumer price inflation surges to near-8-year high at 7.79% in April

-MoneyControl.com The CPI inflation print for April is above the consensus, with a Moneycontrol poll showing economists saw inflation rising to 7.5 percent The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) worst fears have been realised after data showed headline retail inflation surged to 7.79 percent in April - the highest since May 2014. At 7.79 percent, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation print for April is 84 basis points higher than the March number...

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