-TheWire.in A claim of an 8.4% real GDP growth rate has little relevance even as rural India battles plummeting wage levels, depleted incomes and widespread unemployment. With the release of the GDP figures for the quarter ending September, the government machinery has been in full swing advancing the narrative that economic growth is indeed back on track. However, sorely missing from these narratives is the inconvenient factoid on the currently dismal state of...
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Consumption-driven GDP growth unhealthy for Indian economy -Manas Chakravarty
-Livemint.com A consumption-driven growth not only fuels inflation, but also can arguably lead to a slackening of future growth Economic growth of 8.2% for the June quarter may have beaten all estimates, but the big question is: what kind of growth is it? Is the economy firing on all the engines of domestic consumption, investment demand and external demand? Let’s look at the numbers. The anecdotal evidence of a spurt in consumption growth...
More »Consumption mystery could be traced to piling up of inventories -Aanchal Magazine
-The Indian Express As per the methodology, since no direct data of expenditure is used, most of the GDP data is calculated based on output data The answer to the puzzling rise in Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE) in the second advance estimate of GDP for 2016-17 despite the evident cash squeeze due to demonetisation may very well lie in the methodology used for calculating the new series of GDP. As per...
More »GDP data: The plot thickens -Udit Misra
-Business Standard Data presents a rosy picture but fails to convince New Delhi: For anyone who understand, or at least deludes himself to believe that they understand, how the economy works, the latest data by the Central Statistical Organisation (CSO) on the quarterly gross domestic product (GDP) should come as a shock. Ever since the Prime Minister stunned the nation by announcing demonetisation on November 8 last year, economists of all hue...
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