-Newsclick.in World capitalism is entering a new phase in which Third World economies will witness persistent outflow of finance, even if they raise interest rates in tandem with US rates. There are two defining and portentous features of the current world economic situation. One, which is well discussed, is the world-wide increase in interest rates in response to the pervasive inflationary upsurge; it would indubitably generate Recession and unemployment, which, notwithstanding all...
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Macro policy for uncertain times -Sonal Varma
-Business Standard External storms are morphing into hurricanes. India is in a relatively better position than many other countries, but this period of heightened volatility will require agility and clarity on policy Despite recovering from the pandemic, repeated global shocks have presented numerous challenges for India’s economy this year, driving inflation and evoking balance of payments (BoP) pressures. These shocks will likely persist for much longer. In the US, even amidst signs of...
More »A star achievement of our 75 years of independence -Indira Rajaraman
-Livemint.com What will happen to the PMGKAY beyond December 2022? It cannot continue indefinitely in its present form. At a time when central banks all over the world are into a round robin of interest rates hikes, in a context of impending Recession in several major world economies, an unending war, and uncertainty about energy availability and pricing going into the northern hemisphere winter, the only cheering news was India’s further extension...
More »Global Recession increasingly likely as cost of living soars: WEF survey
-PTI/ The Hindu Business Line The survey showed that food security could be at risk over the next three years A global Recession is becoming increasingly likely due to stubbornly high inflation and real wages continuing to fall, the World Economic Forum said on Wednesday, citing a survey of chief economists from across the world. According to the WEF Chief Economists Outlook report, real wages are expected to continue falling across the world...
More »Backsliding on climate action -TS Tirumurti
-The Hindu Western nations have started reinterpreting the Paris deal and look to downgrade their commitments Countries in Europe led by Germany, Austria and the Netherlands are cranking up their coal plants again. Coal exports to Europe are surging. Fossil fuels are making a comeback and countries are rejecting the European Union (EU)’s plan to reduce natural gas consumption by 15%. Dutch, Polish and other European farmers are protesting against emission cuts...
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